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Yesterday, Kentucky completed its highest week ever for new #COVID19 cases.
The most recent weeks are concerning for the beginning of exponential growth.
I’ll share some stats and more reflective thoughts in this thread.
1/9
The most recent weeks are concerning for the beginning of exponential growth.
I’ll share some stats and more reflective thoughts in this thread.
1/9
Kentucky’s incidence rate map ( #COVID19 cases/100k persons) is very ‘hot.’
5 counties are around 50 cases/100k, double the level necessary to be red.
Sadly, people disregarding social distancing and mask use appears to be contributing to the problem.
2/x
5 counties are around 50 cases/100k, double the level necessary to be red.
Sadly, people disregarding social distancing and mask use appears to be contributing to the problem.
2/x
Other democracies have done much better than USA.
New #COVID19 cases per million people (visual estimate of y-axis):
USA: 22k
Canada: 4.2k
Germany: 3.9k
New Zealand: 0.2k
It’s not the disease, it’s our choices as Americans.
3/9
New #COVID19 cases per million people (visual estimate of y-axis):
USA: 22k
Canada: 4.2k
Germany: 3.9k
New Zealand: 0.2k
It’s not the disease, it’s our choices as Americans.
3/9
Remarkably, some are numb to the magnitude of the body count.
USA Fatalities:
Flu in 2019-20: 22k
#COVID19 in 2020: 210k (that’s nearly 10x already)
#COVID19 is already 10x more fatal than last season's flu in USA.
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2019-2020.html
4/9
USA Fatalities:
Flu in 2019-20: 22k
#COVID19 in 2020: 210k (that’s nearly 10x already)
#COVID19 is already 10x more fatal than last season's flu in USA.
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2019-2020.html
4/9
#COVID-19 spread can be dramatically reduced. We could get back to many activities w/reasonable safety, if we:
Wear a mask.
Stay >6 feet away.
Wash their hands.
Stay home if sick.
Sadly, some associate public health guidance with personal identity.
5/9
Wear a mask.
Stay >6 feet away.
Wash their hands.
Stay home if sick.
Sadly, some associate public health guidance with personal identity.
5/9
Today, @CDCgov described a 13 y/o infecting 11/13 people in a house. 6 others socially distanced and did not get infected.
Lessons:
Kids spread #COVID19
Social distancing works
Testing alone is insufficient
Quarantine is important
Prolonged, close contact spread’s dz
6/9
Lessons:
Kids spread #COVID19
Social distancing works
Testing alone is insufficient
Quarantine is important
Prolonged, close contact spread’s dz
6/9
This is sad, but predictable.
Humans have a long and established history of self-destructive behavior.
For those who will hear, follow the guidance.
It’s a risky time to disregard it.
7/9
Humans have a long and established history of self-destructive behavior.
For those who will hear, follow the guidance.
It’s a risky time to disregard it.
7/9
Beware the pitfall of confirmation bias - interpreting new evidence to confirm existing beliefs.
Bad judgment that fortuitously produces good results is risky because it encourages reckless behavior.
More often, bad judgment produces bad results.
8/9
Bad judgment that fortuitously produces good results is risky because it encourages reckless behavior.
More often, bad judgment produces bad results.
8/9
Most folks are good and want to treat others well.
It is common, though, to see the same world but reach different conclusions.
This is ok, if we treat each other with kindness and respect.
#COVID19 has shown #TeamKentucky is full of kind people.
Share your stories.
9/9
It is common, though, to see the same world but reach different conclusions.
This is ok, if we treat each other with kindness and respect.
#COVID19 has shown #TeamKentucky is full of kind people.
Share your stories.
9/9
