I often talk about how important getting the 5 category contributing studs are. Often, the types of players that make the jump into the 1st-2nd rounds are those types of players. Let& #39;s take a look at some of those guys from the short season - a thread
Juan Soto was exactly what I thought he& #39;d be - elite AVG, power, and upped his running (6 SB)... if he can maintain those SB next season, which I think he can, he& #39;s a top 5 player easily.
Manny Machado reemerged as a stud and ran a lot more in the short season (16 HR 6 SB and hit .300). The Padres showed a willingness to run a TON so I& #39;m officially a believer in Manny again. Should be a 2nd round pick next season
Tim Anderson pretty much proved last year was no fluke. He was my runner-up pick for AL MVP... and while he won& #39;t quite get there, he showed his power, speed, and high BABIP ways leading to an elite AVG were no fluke. I& #39;ll be buying again next year if he goes in the 3rd or later
Xander Bogaerts looked much more like his 2016 self... which is not a bad thing. We figured last year& #39;s power output was somewhat fluky, but if he starts running more again (8 SB), that& #39;s great for his value. He& #39;s still a .300 hitter with some pop as well. BOS seems likely to run
I& #39;ve long been a Bryce Harper detractor (at his draft cost) but if he keeps running, I may be in on him in the 2nd round next season...the Nats seemed more willing to run with Rendon gone (Soto uptick as well). Harper will likely never be a .300 hitter, but he has everything else
Kyle Tucker has always had MONSTER potential (Think 35 HR/35 SB), but the PT was just never there. Now it is. He didn& #39;t have the monster breakout that would make his 2021 draft cost prohibitive though, so getting him in the 3rd-4th round could be a coup. 9 HR 8 SB .268 AVG https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👍" title="Thumbs up" aria-label="Emoji: Thumbs up">
JT Realmuto... this season exemplified exactly why I was in on him to some degree (11 HR 4 SB playing every day hitting middle of the order) and why I couldn& #39;t pull the trigger as early as he goes (catchers have such a high risk of injury comparative to other hitter positions)
Trent Grisham was the poster child for what I look for in an emerging hitter going into 2020... phenomenal plate approach in minors with high BB% low K% power and speed. He showed that this season with 10 HR 10 SB and a .250 AVG. I think there& #39;s much more here too. I& #39;m in!
Alex Verdugo got in on Boston& #39;s propensity to run now that they don& #39;t have the middle of the order big bats anymore. He had 6 HR 4 SB and has always been a .300 hitter. Love that profile. Only concern is as a lefty he may not stick as the leadoff guy when facing lefties
Christian Vazquez was yet another Boston player to get in on the SB revolution there with 4 SB in addition to 7 HR and a .283 AVG. Getting anything other than power from a catcher is already a boon, but getting power, speed, AND solid AVG? I just hope he doesn& #39;t go TOO high
Eric Hosmer is another Padre who got in on the SB parade with 4 of his own in only 150 PAs to go along with 9 HR and a .287 AVG. LOVE his profile... changed his swing and approach and I& #39;m buying into this big time. Now he just needs to stay healthy...
Dansby Swanson looks like about the same player he was last year (10 HR 5 SB) but that he traded some contact points for power... he still ended up with a .274 AVG thanks to a .350 BABIP, but his barrel% has increased from 4.1% to 7.7% up to 11.4% this season, which is awesome!
Kyle Lewis showed that despite a high K% and low contact% he can likely sustain a high BABIP due to how hard he hits the ball... he also continued to barrel a high percentage of balls (though not the 18.6% from 2019). 11 HR 5 SB .262 AVG was great this year. Love the power upside
The Mariners are another team running wild and who likely will continue to do so. Dylan Moore exemplifies that perfectly. 8 HR 12 SB .255 AVG this year, Moore was a guy I was always high on despite his low AVG. I am buying into him next year again as well. I think he& #39;s legit
Austin Slater is yet another guy I& #39;ve been high on for years who finally broke out. He& #39;s always been a higher AVG guy with some pop, but 8 SB in just 104 PAs?! Where did that come from? The Giants don& #39;t run much so not sure what accounted for this but not sure I buy into those SB
Miguel Rojas showed some pop (4 HR) and speed (5 SB) and hit .300 as well in under 150 PAs. With a sub 1% barrel rate https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="😬" title="Grimasse schneidendes Gesicht" aria-label="Emoji: Grimasse schneidendes Gesicht"> and low hard hit rate, it& #39;s tough to buy into the power... but the Marlins should continue to run wild and an AVG around .280-.290 is legit.
Kevin Pillar has pretty much been the same HR/SB combo guy for his whole career... this year was no different except he also added a .288 AVG. But the BABIP inflation (.335) might continue while he hits in Coors, so if he& #39;s the every day CF in COL again next season I& #39;m in!
Jackie Bradley Jr. had a pretty damn good season as well with 7 HR 5 SB and a .283 AVG w/ contact% K% and BB% gains. His barrel rate was down though and his hard hit rate was way down so I don& #39;t think he& #39;s a 20 HR guy, but if he can hold the AVG gains, I think he& #39;ll def run more
Yet another beneficiary of the Mariners SB revolution, Kyle Seager even had 5 SB! He hasn& #39;t had that many steals in a FULL season since 2015! Seager isn& #39;t gonna help much in AVG and his power is capped around 25 HR but if he steals 10 bases, he can provide late value. He& #39;s solid
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