T+T report w/e 23rd Sept.
Despite no change in number of tests,
- cases in pillar 1
34%-3,653
to 4,898 (NHS/PHE labs – outbreaks/hospital)
- cases in pillar 2
67% -15,853 to 26,475 (community)
Positivity for pillar 2
from 3.3% to 6.7%
Pillar 1
from 1.8% to 2.5% https://twitter.com/admbriggs/status/1311732889399234560
Despite no change in number of tests,
- cases in pillar 1


- cases in pillar 2

Positivity for pillar 2

Pillar 1

REACT study (to 23/9/20) puts prevalence 4 times higher (411,000) than the ONS surveillance to w/e 19/9/20 (104,000)
Plenty more nuggets from @ADMBriggs in his excellent thread
Plenty more nuggets from @ADMBriggs in his excellent thread
MUCH More regional & age detail needed but re tracing, "
“71% of cases reached
85% give contact details
72% of contacts reached" is the fact that current data suggest <20% of cases and just 11% of contacts isolate for the required time anyway”
This needs to improve smartly
“71% of cases reached


This needs to improve smartly