Read on Twitter
"Exceptionally many vulnerable – “dry tinder” – in Sweden prior to COVID-19"
Working paper from Jones Herby
Source: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3702595
1/x
Unusually">https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/pape... large stock of “dry tinder” in Sweden going into the COVID-19 pandemic
Working paper from Jones Herby
Source: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3702595
1/x
Unusually">https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/pape... large stock of “dry tinder” in Sweden going into the COVID-19 pandemic
2/x
The stock of “dry tinder” in Sweden in primo April 2020 was large in a historical perspective. Not since the beginning of the 1970’s has the stock been as high in Sweden.
The stock of “dry tinder” in Sweden in primo April 2020 was large in a historical perspective. Not since the beginning of the 1970’s has the stock been as high in Sweden.
3/x
Why was the stock larger in Sweden than in other Nordic countries? It is very clear that Sweden look a lot like the other Nordic countries until the beginning og 2019, where
Sweden starts to deviate.
Why was the stock larger in Sweden than in other Nordic countries? It is very clear that Sweden look a lot like the other Nordic countries until the beginning og 2019, where
Sweden starts to deviate.
5/x
... the “dry tinder” theory cannot alone explain the differences, as Finland – although looking a lot like Sweden in March 2020 – did not experience thesame excess mortality. So how well can my measure of the stock of “dry tinder” explain the many COVID-19 deaths in Sweden?
... the “dry tinder” theory cannot alone explain the differences, as Finland – although looking a lot like Sweden in March 2020 – did not experience thesame excess mortality. So how well can my measure of the stock of “dry tinder” explain the many COVID-19 deaths in Sweden?
6/x
"Large change in mortality during flu-season year to year correlates strongly with low mortality the following flu-season"
"Large change in mortality during flu-season year to year correlates strongly with low mortality the following flu-season"
7/x
The stock of “dry tinder” were as large as the number of COVID-19-deaths in Sweden
There are many possible explanations for this difference, but in the following I want to point out that “dry tinder” could be a significant explanation.
The stock of “dry tinder” were as large as the number of COVID-19-deaths in Sweden
There are many possible explanations for this difference, but in the following I want to point out that “dry tinder” could be a significant explanation.
8/x
Discussion
Discussion
