[Thread] 20/21 @PremierLeague - Penalties

It's no doubt that the new handball rules have greatly affected the outcomes of matches this season (see #MUNNEW or #CRYEVE).

I try to see how the change has affected the frequency of penalties awarded in the #PL.

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Disclaimer:
This analysis doesn't differentiate between handball pens & non-handball pens. Future analysis can improve on this.

Assumptions for this season:
➊ Increase in no. of pens is due to the new handball rule
➋ No. of non-handball pens will tend towards previous seasons'

In the past 10 seasons, there was an average of about 2.44 Penalties Awarded (PA) every Game Week (GW).

Season - PA/GW
10/11 - 2.71
11/12 - 2.55
12/13 - 2.24
13/14 - 2.29
14/15 - 2.16
15/16 - 2.39
16/17 - 2.79
17/18 - 2.11
18/19 - 2.71
19/20 - 2.42

#PremierLeague #PL #FPL

This season so far (end of GW3), we already see a 2.7x increase in PA/GW, with an astounding 6.67 pens awarded every week.

While not all pens may have been awarded due to the new rules, we see that since the change, the number of pens has almost tripled.

#PremierLeague #PL #FPL

Visualizing the number of penalties awarded per game week since the 10/11 season.

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The past 10 seasons saw an average of 93 pens per season. This season, we have 20 PA at the end of GW3.

Assuming that the rate of PA stays roughly the same for the rest of the season, we are on track to see 250+ penalties in the 20/21 @premierleague

#PremierLeague #PL #FPL

Comparing the total number of penalties awarded since the 10/11 season.

Season - Total PA
10/11 - 103
11/12 - 97
12/13 - 85
13/14 - 87
14/15 - 82
15/16 - 91
16/17 - 106
17/18 - 80
18/19 - 103
19/20 - 93
20/21 - 253 (projected)

#PremierLeague #PL #FPL

Over the past 10 seasons, penalties would account for an average of just 6.86% of the total number of goals scored. That's 1 out of 14.5 goals being a penalty.

This season, for every 5.8 goals scored, we can expect 1 of it to be a penalty. That's 17.5%!

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Visualizing the number of goals from open play per penalty scored per game week since the 10/11 season.

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How would knowing all of this affect your #FPL decision-making for your team?

More importantly, how would the increase in frequency of penalties awarded in the @PremierLeague affect the players and managers of Clubs (especially for forwards and defenders)?

#PL #PremierLeague

Data for the Seasons of 10/11, 11/12, 12/13 and 13/14.

PA = Penalties Awarded
PS = Penalties Scored
TG = Total Goals

Data Source: Transfermarkt

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Data for the Seasons of 14/15, 15/16, 16/17 and 17/18.

PA = Penalties Awarded
PS = Penalties Scored
TG = Total Goals

Data Source: Transfermarkt

#PremierLeague #PL #FPL

Data for the Seasons of 18/19, 19/29 and 20/21 (till GW3 of the current season)

PA = Penalties Awarded
PS = Penalties Scored
TG = Total Goals

Data Source: Transfermarkt

#PremierLeague #PL #FPL

End of thread on Penalties in the 20/21 season of the #PremierLeague

This is merely my personal attempt, out of curiosity, to compare penalties now vs then.

Any mistake in data entry or analysis is non-intentional.

Enjoy my presentation of data and I hope that you've liked it.