It’s the seniors, stupid!

Seniors are the key voting bloc of 2020. Trump won 65+ vote by 8 points in 2016. He is significantly underperforming with them now.

Now, NYT/Siena has Biden winning beating Trump among seniors by 3 points. Similar to other polls https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/us0920-crosstabs/e9c96a16d8951e8c/full.pdf

And in the just-released NYT/Siena poll of Pennsylvania, Trump leads Biden by just 3 points among seniors. That’s a great number for Biden because Trump won seniors in PA by 10 points in 2016 https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/pa-0920-crosstabs/0d7e4a610ceeb14b/full.pdf

And today a new Quinnipiac poll of Georgia has Trump leading Biden 54-45 among seniors. In 2016, Trump won Georgia seniors by 36 points https://poll.qu.edu/georgia/release-detail?ReleaseID=3676

UNH poll finds Biden leading Trump in New Hampshire by 9 among likely voters. He’s up even more, 11 points, among voters 65+. In 2016, seniors split evenly between Trump and Clinton https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1609&context=survey_center_polls

And a new Quinnipiac poll of South Carolina finds Trump leading Biden among seniors by just 4 points. In 2016, Trump won seniors in the state by 19 points https://poll.qu.edu/south-carolina/release-detail?ReleaseID=3677

Economist/YouGov poll with more bad news for Trump among seniors:

•Biden leads Trump 46-45
•62% say country is headed in the wrong direction
•Plurality, 30%, rate health care as top issue. Jobs & economy second at 23%
•45% strongly disapprove of Trump https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/9k0tqsqgue/econTabReport.pdf

Whoa. On @thenewsoncnbc Shep Smith and @SteveKornacki debut a new CNBC/Change Research poll showing after the debate 65% of senior voters say Joe Biden is more likely to keep them safe from Covid-19. Just 35% say Trump.