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Quick thread on how TX case data is misrepresented. US media and many local media treat all cases reported by TX as new. Even though DSHS now provides recent/old cases splits for the counties that provide this detail. You can see the divergence in lines.
DSHS still has old cases to work through. I've heard the counties were warned about another old batch of cases that will be working their way through this week, so this problem isn't going away yet. Still no evidence of any change in the declining trends we've been seeing in TX
Finally, DSHS stopped providing their test by occurrence spreadsheet, so I'm switching back to HHS to get a rough idea of the true new case count. Here's how HHS compares to DSHS data. Neither of these data set remove duplicates so they are higher than a true case count.
However if you plot them with the reported case counts from DSHS you can see they are actually lower than the "Reported New Cases". This is because DSHS relies on the counties to specify which cases are old and new, if the counties don't provide the split they are all counted new
I'm not saying using positive tests is perfect, but it at least provides a check on the Daily New case numbers being reported by DSHS. There is also no evidence at this point that recent cases are increasing in Texas. We're still only seeing old cases added.
