There we have it - Labour ahead by 3 points https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1309931063666454533

@APHClarkson mentioned that the current UK political environment is highly regionalised and this is something I agree with, so let's pull out what this poll says at the sub-UK level

Scotland: SNP 55%; LAB 17%; CON 22%; LDM 4%; GRN 3%

Wales: CON 43%; LAB 34%; PC 16%; LDM 1%; GRN 4%

London: LAB 44%; CON 36%; LDM 11%; GRN 3%

England, South: CON 49%; LAB 35%; LDM 7%; GRN 6%

England, North: LAB 59%; CON 32%; LDM 4%; GRN 2%

England: Midlands: LAB 47%; CON 41%; LDM 3%; GRN 3%

These sub groups aren't as accurate as the poll overall but there are still some obvious trends

None of the unionist parties are challenging the SNP and yet Labour and the Tories can both get to 40+%

Potentially we're entering a dynamic where Scotland is a 'nice to have' for the unionist parties, rather than an essential set of seats

We heard a lot about the 'weakness' for Labour of relying on Scottish seats, but this tradition of progressive politics was one of the main things that actually tied Scotland and England together - if Labour is competitive without Scottish seats, then which party needs Scotland?

Related to this is Wales, where Labour are similarly weakened by the nationalist party.

But here the Tories have stepped in as the leading unionists and their enduring strength is probably a surprise given the headline poll. Again - does Labour become only an English party?

England itself meanwhile is a clear contest between the Tories and Labour. The other parties have pockets of support but it's really about the two main parties

There's a number of political events which are pushing Labour and the Tories towards the same conclusion: we can afford to lose seats everywhere because we have the capacity to win in England

More than this, in Scotland the deficit is so large, it's maybe not even worth trying