Eagles HC Doug Pederson said there are no “layups” in the NFL when asked about QB Carson Wentz’s struggles on “easy” passes this season

We checked.

#NFLResearchFactCheck

A Thread:
Carson Wentz has completed 58.8 pct of his passes this season

@NextGenStats says he should have completed 67.7 pct of his throws, per their comp pct over expectation (CPOE) model

His -8.8 CPOE is 2nd worst in the NFL this season behind WAS Dwayne Haskins (min 30 pass attempts)
Wentz has completed 82.2 pct of his “easy” throws (passes with a 75+ pct expected chance of completion)

He was expected to complete 85.9 pct of those, giving him a -3.7 CPOE on “layups”

(Note: @KingJames completed 65.1 pct of FGs inside of 10 ft in the 2019-20 regular season)
But Wentz has struggled much more on “medium” and “difficult” throws this season, with a -17.6 & -13.0 CPOE respectively.

He’s hit most of the “layups” that were expected, but has struggled on the tougher throws
Pederson is a good advocate for the difficulty of completing passes in the NFL. During his career as a starter for the Eagles & Browns he completed 53.4 pct of his passes and had a 57.9 passer rating

Both were bottom-3 in the NFL among 39 QBs with 10+ starts in that span
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