Since it looks like there may be another Israel-Arab peace deal this week, let's revisit some predictions asserting the impossibility of such deals due to Trump admin foreign policy on Iran and Israel. Short thread. 1/ https://twitter.com/jhaboush/status/1308848684554227713
Deputy Editorial Page Editor of the Washington Post and seasoned foreign policy commentator @JacksonDiehl said that recognizing Jerusalem would drive Arab states away from Israel and the US, all to the benefit of Iran.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/global-opinions/will-someone-save-trump-from-this-disastrous
Secretary of State @JohnKerry on recognizing Jerusalem:
“You’d have an explosion, an absolute explosion in the region, not just in the West Bank, and perhaps even in Israel itself, but throughout the region.” 3/ https://www.cbsnews.com/news/john-kerry-warns-some-of-trumps-foreign-policy-couldbe-explosive/
Here's @ProjectLincoln founder @SteveSchmidtSES
“Trump destabilized the Middle East with his decision to move the embassy. His abject ignorance of the history & religions that have shaped this moment have given succor to the agents of terror and chaos.” https://twitter.com/steveschmidtses/status/996501402171183105
VP Biden's national security adviser @ColinKahl, a Middle East expert getting the Middle East perfectly backwards:
“Trump’s Jerusalem decision further isolates the US in the Middle East” https://twitter.com/ColinKahl/status/940279521911148550
Obama's CIA chief @JohnBrennan declaring that moving the US embassy to Jerusalem would stop the US from brokering peace in the region. Whoops.
“By moving Embassy to Jerusalem, Trump played politics, destroyed US peacemaker role.” https://twitter.com/JohnBrennan/status/996176577061892097
Biden campaign foreign policy advisor @RNicholasBurns:
"If Pres. Trump moves our embassy to Jerusalem, it will be a historic mistake. All of his predecessors understood what it would cost the U.S. in influence/credibity with the Palestinians+Arab World." https://twitter.com/RNicholasBurns/status/938115365900611584
Obama's UN Ambassador @SamanthaJPower predicted US "isolation":
“Trump has demolished America’s credibility & paved the way for Iran to re-start its nuclear program. Trump has done the unthinkable: isolated the US & rallied the world around Iran." https://twitter.com/SamanthaJPower/status/993883349520351232
One of VP Biden national security advisor @ColinKahl's favorite talking points is that if the US doesn't heed his advice, we will be "isolated":
“As a result [of leaving the Iran deal], Washington, not Tehran, would find itself increasingly isolated.” https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2018/04/europe-iran-deal/558800/
Obama's top foreign policy advisor & speechwriter @brhodes with a prediction that didn't pan out: Leaving the Iran deal “is devastating to U.S. credibility globally. After this, why would anyone trust an international agreement that the U.S. negotiates?” https://twitter.com/brhodes/status/993893087641526274
James Cunningham, a career State Dept official who served as Amb to Israel under Obama, made two predictions about moving the embassy to Jerusalem that suggest major blind spots about a region he spent years working in.
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/what-could-happen-if-trump-moves-the-u-s-embassyto-jerusalem/
Another former Amb to Israel, @Martin_Indyk, also an Obama admin official & leader of the Qatari-funded @BrookingsInst, said Arab states would demand Trump "rescind" recognition of J'lem. In reality, they made peace w/ Israel. https://www.brookings.edu/research/president-trumps-options-for-israeli-palestiniandealmaking/
Obama admin foreign policy adviser @ilangoldenberg with an odd theory on US recognition of the Golan Heights: It “puts the Arab states even further on the defensive and makes it harder for them to support the US without being called out by Iran” https://twitter.com/ilangoldenberg/status/1108799871019040773
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