Cases update for England (now that I have un-broken my spreadsheet). Cases by specimen date up a bit, point R(t) estimate at 1.05, will go up a bit again over the next few days by the look of it. Experimental nowcast = 1.30 (looks like my methodology is overestimating, TBC...)
Still a bit of lag but looks like there's a big push to get testing turnround times down because the graph is far more right-loaded now (which probably explains the large daily figure):
Usual suspect regions driving the numbers:
North West:
North East (ouch!):
London still looking good:
Cases by date reported up today, R(t) estimate 1.17 based on this metric:
% positivity up in line with case numbers:
Finally hospital admissions rate of increase continues to slow, bucking the case trend:
Sorry forgot to add, doubling time by specimen date (England) 55 days, by date of reporting (UK) 18 days.
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