- ratchet up Paris ambitions
- 'strive to have CO2 emissions peak before 2030'
- 'strive to achieve carbon neutrality before 2060'
Huge news, but what does it mean for now? https://chinaenergyportal.org/en/xi-jinping-announces-china-aims-for-carbon-neutrality-by-2060-at-un-general-assembly/
English translations of Chinese energy policy, news, and statistics. Focused on wind power, PV, solar, biomass and other renewable energy. 10+ year archives of Chinese energy policy & statistics.https://chinaenergyportal.org/en/xi-jinping-announces-china-aims-for-carbon-neutrality-by-2060-at-un-general-assembly/
2060 is far away, but in China long-term targets do often have weight. https://twitter.com/LiShuo_GP/status/1308427133614608384
One big question is via what trajectory. Existing potential pathways for zero emissions by 2050 have emissions peak by 2025 and substantially reduced by 2030. https://twitter.com/YanQinyq/status/1308513940184403969
But if they know they can aim for zero carbon by 2060, they must have a better idea on the emissions peak than 'before 2030'. Why is it not more specific?
Importantly, will they make a good head start in the 14FYP? Will this plan contain ambitious and more concrete intermediate steps to peaking before 2030?
Or will the current announcement be followed up by ambitious restrictions on new coal? https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-will-china-build-hundreds-of-new-coal-plants-in-the-2020s
Powerful stakeholders in China are lobbying for targets that would allow hundreds of new coal-fired power stations to be built into its next five-year-plan.https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-will-china-build-hundreds-of-new-coal-plants-in-the-2020s
Both have been in the making for years with only small steps so far.
As state subsidies for wind and PV are ending, something needs to be done to make renewables more profitable versus coal again
What will the measures be for transport, steel-making, cement, ammonia/fertilizer, aviation, and other hard-to-abate sectors?
Will 14FYP already see clear plans for these? Or will the 2060 target remain a distant goal?
So certainly a big turnaround in the vision, now we have to see if the 2060 goal will mean much for actions in the next decade.