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Very interesting that the Irish screening program estimates their false positive rate lies between 0.7-0.8%.
They rightly say that retesting positives almost eliminated this issue. I agree. Even U.K. Govt advisors said we should do this. We’re still not doing do.
Finally they... https://twitter.com/DavQuinn/status/1308493818027741184
They rightly say that retesting positives almost eliminated this issue. I agree. Even U.K. Govt advisors said we should do this. We’re still not doing do.
Finally they... https://twitter.com/DavQuinn/status/1308493818027741184
..argue that if testing is done only on symptomatic subjects, the prevalence will be higher than in a population survey. I think that’s likely, but this may not help enough. This is because prevalence (0.05-0.1%) is HUGELY lower than false positive rate (0.8%). By how much is..
...prevalence really enriched in a population variably symptomatic with the kinds of symptoms that occur in response to a dozen respiratory viruses? Truth is that nobody knows. I do not believe we in U.K. can defend what we’ve done in community screening. I maintain that most...
...of our positives have been FALSE POSITIVES. I’m astounded that people are essentially saying “maybe we’ve exaggerated the cases, but not as much as Yeadon says. It’s probably <<only>> a 4-fold exaggeration”. Really? And you’re ok with this?
“The positive rate is now higher..
“The positive rate is now higher..
...and that alone means there must be some kind of real increase”.
Amazed! You’re assuming you’re being given reliable info, when we’re just established they’ve lied to you for at least 4mo. It’s possible, and in any case I think there is some extent of increase. That fact...
Amazed! You’re assuming you’re being given reliable info, when we’re just established they’ve lied to you for at least 4mo. It’s possible, and in any case I think there is some extent of increase. That fact...
...IN NO WAY excuses what’s gone on. I’d dismiss all senior decision-makers involved & have a fresh senior team reporting to me.
Finally, to be clear: I expect infections with respiratory viruses to rise into autumn then winter. Prof Henegan reminds us to expect 4x to 8x...
Finally, to be clear: I expect infections with respiratory viruses to rise into autumn then winter. Prof Henegan reminds us to expect 4x to 8x...
...increase, not specifically covid19, but of a large handful of respiratory viruses incl ‘flu. I’m reasonably confident that, looking solely from today onwards thru to spring, flu represents a greater hazard to public health than covid19. In other words, those who parrot the...
...Govt line not only lost all proportion, but their moral compasses as well.
