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1/ It is generational arbitrage.
Human nature is this: the masses are mostly credulous steerable sheepâ
many lost, needing to be led.
The WISE and the CLEVER breakâfirst from the herd (with differing confidence)âand then from each other (with differing ethics)
... https://twitter.com/richtechexec/status/1308147740631797760
Human nature is this: the masses are mostly credulous steerable sheepâ
many lost, needing to be led.The WISE and the CLEVER breakâfirst from the herd (with differing confidence)âand then from each other (with differing ethics)
... https://twitter.com/richtechexec/status/1308147740631797760
2/ This is true first in religion & politicsâwhere indoctrination happens very young (emulating parents) and the chains of belief are too WEAK to be felt until too STRONG to be brokenâpain of being social ostracized is horrible.
And a "biological trap" for manyâhow?...
And a "biological trap" for manyâhow?...
3/ A "biological trap" is like the moth in the fridge. 
A moth is trapped in a fridge.
Open the door to free itâ
But it cannot leave.
Becauseâ the
Show most the light and the binds of the tribe triumph tightly over truth that can free..
A moth is trapped in a fridge.
Open the door to free itâ
But it cannot leave.
Becauseâ the
Show most the light and the binds of the tribe triumph tightly over truth that can free..
4/ Religion + politics are tribally biological trapsâBUT so are markets.
The dopamine hit of reward from making money combined with comraderie of winningâmakes it (like religion + politics) perfect for sheep where what other people believe other people believe matters...
The dopamine hit of reward from making money combined with comraderie of winningâmakes it (like religion + politics) perfect for sheep
where what other people believe other people believe matters...
5/ Notablyâdifferent in sports. Fans can foment frenzy tribally over a TEAM but are overtly critical of their own team individual players if they objectivelyâplay poorly. Players can cheat but otherwise hard to fake skill + evidence/TRUTH of scoring (unlike preachers, pols, CEOs)
6/ Back to the WISE and CLEVER.
Both break from the masses of sheep
But they break from each other on ethics and intentions
The wise mostly explore (and help)
âthe more detected the better for them
The clever mostly exploit (and hurt)
âthe more undetected the better for them
Both break from the masses of sheep
But they break from each other on ethics and intentions
The wise mostly explore (and help)
âthe more detected the better for them
The clever mostly exploit (and hurt)
âthe more undetected the better for them
7/ wise: motivated to reveal and catch the clever
clever: motivated to not get caught
Think Tom Hanks "I'm on to you" of Leonardo Dicaprio's Frank Abagnale in "Catch Me if You Can"
Fraudsters, hucksters, cons, promoters
vs
Scientists, sleuths, journalists, short-sellers
clever: motivated to not get caught
Think Tom Hanks "I'm on to you" of Leonardo Dicaprio's Frank Abagnale in "Catch Me if You Can"
Fraudsters, hucksters, cons, promoters
vs
Scientists, sleuths, journalists, short-sellers
8/ Every generation has to learn its own lesson. But it only gets taught when the wise catch the clever. Or the clever get too greedy and confident and make messy mistakes.
The wise today got wise by getting burned by the clever in the past...
The wise today got wise by getting burned by the clever in the past...
9/ "Fool me once".
Today's young traders will in 20 years be warning the next generation how they are getting duped
Just as those that were in their 20sâ 20 yrs ago during .com/Enron/WorldCom/Tyco era went from
"this time is different"
to
"wtf just happened"
very quickly..
Today's young traders will in 20 years be warning the next generation how they are getting duped
Just as those that were in their 20sâ 20 yrs ago during .com/Enron/WorldCom/Tyco era went from
"this time is different"
to
"wtf just happened"
very quickly..
10/ As Charles Mackay said in "Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds" in 1841(!)
Men, it has been well said, think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herdsâwhile they only recover their senses slowly,
one by one.
Men, it has been well said, think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herdsâwhile they only recover their senses slowly,
one by one.
