The briefing showed recent trends in France & Spain & then showed that the UK would have 49k cases per day if they doubled every week.

49k per day is a rate of 73.5 / 100k, i.e. over 3 times current rate in Spain, nearly 6 times France.

Why did they present that scenario?

If you want to compare with France & Spain, why wouldn& #39;t you use their doubling time which is every 3 weeks, not every week?

That would indicate closer to 7-8k cases per day by mid-October.

Also, why didn& #39;t @CMO_England & @uksciencechief present the UK data using the rate per 100k like they did for France/Spain?

That would make it easier for politicians, journalists & the public to compare & then to judge whether the *what if* scenario passes the smell test.

I would take a very dim view if my UG students submitted a report like this.

Do @CMO_England and @uksciencechief really think it is acceptable to present data in this way?

The slides are here if you want to check them out for yourselves: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/919548/20200921_Briefing.pdf">https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/governmen...