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The Netherlands is traditionally one of America& #39;s staunchest allies. Atlanticism runs deep.
But what does the Dutch population think of today& #39;s transatlantic relations, European strategic autonomy, and a & #39;Cold War& #39; with China?
We took the Dutch pulse. (N = 23.000)
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But what does the Dutch population think of today& #39;s transatlantic relations, European strategic autonomy, and a & #39;Cold War& #39; with China?
We took the Dutch pulse. (N = 23.000)
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The Dutch are pivoting to & #39;more Europe& #39;.
72% of the Dutch population support deeper cooperation with France & Germany, in light of Brexit and Trump& #39;s America First policies.
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72% of the Dutch population support deeper cooperation with France & Germany, in light of Brexit and Trump& #39;s America First policies.
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Interestingly, even among the Eurosceptics (those that support PVV, Forum, SGP), more people support deeper cooperation with Berlin & Paris, then do not.
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On a side-note: those that do not support more cooperation with Germany/ France, also tend to take a negative view of migration and want a military that can do everything by itself. We call them the "Sovereignists".
In NL, there is a large majority of "Europeanists".
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In NL, there is a large majority of "Europeanists".
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So why this turn to Europe? And does it have something to do with views of the US?
Well, the Dutch population doesn& #39;t think it can count on the US anymore.
79% of cloggies think it is likely/ very likely that, within 5 years, the US will reduce its protection of Europe.
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Well, the Dutch population doesn& #39;t think it can count on the US anymore.
79% of cloggies think it is likely/ very likely that, within 5 years, the US will reduce its protection of Europe.
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And in terms of Dutch threat perceptions, the United States only scores marginally better than China or Russia.
29% see US as a threat, as opposed to China (35%) and Russia (36%).
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29% see US as a threat, as opposed to China (35%) and Russia (36%).
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This might look bad... and it kinda is.
We also asked what they think of a & #39;new Cold War& #39; between the US and China:
28% would take sides with the US,
only 4% would back China.
(I read this as support for the US-EU dialogue on China)
But 60% want neutrality.
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We also asked what they think of a & #39;new Cold War& #39; between the US and China:
28% would take sides with the US,
only 4% would back China.
(I read this as support for the US-EU dialogue on China)
But 60% want neutrality.
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Also, the younger generation is more in favour of neutrality (and also see the US as more of a threat) than the older generation.
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If you support transatlantic cooperation - like I do - there is only 1 conclusion to draw from this survey of the Dutch: US-Europe ties are in desperate need of refurbishment.
@ErikBrattberg @ConStelz @CER_IanBond @Julie_C_Smith @jana_puglierin @bruceestokes @thomaswright08
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@ErikBrattberg @ConStelz @CER_IanBond @Julie_C_Smith @jana_puglierin @bruceestokes @thomaswright08
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The Netherlands – historically one of America’s all-weather friends – is changing its view of transatlantic ties and pivoting to Europe.
Read the full report here (part of our #BuitenlandBarometer project to survey Dutch views of foreign policy): https://www.clingendael.org/publication/dutch-views-transatlantic-ties-and-european-security-cooperation
/N">https://www.clingendael.org/publicati...
Read the full report here (part of our #BuitenlandBarometer project to survey Dutch views of foreign policy): https://www.clingendael.org/publication/dutch-views-transatlantic-ties-and-european-security-cooperation
/N">https://www.clingendael.org/publicati...
