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A few thoughts on the recent Reuters report mentioning that "Iran and North Korea have resumed cooperation on a long-range missile project, including the transfer of critical parts." 1/9 https://news.trust.org/item/20200920153951-37fi7/">https://news.trust.org/item/2020...
What project are they referring to? Well, we don& #39;t know for sure but there are a few potential options. 2/9
The first one is Iran& #39;s apparent role in the development of North Korea& #39;s RD-250 engine clone which powers the DPRK& #39;s Hwasong 15 ICBM. Unfortunately, apart from a single treasury designation, almost nothing is known about Iran& #39;s role in the project. 3/9 https://www.treasury.gov/press-center/press-releases/Pages/jl0322.aspx">https://www.treasury.gov/press-cen...
The second one could be potential cooperation in the development of larger solid-fuel systems. The DPRK has alluded to a solid-fuel ICBM and Iran has a pretty ambitious and sophisticated solid-fuel SLV program going on. 4/9
So cooperation would make sense. However, the shorter range solid-fuel systems we have seen in both countries show very different design philosophies. So it& #39;s unclear how much cooperation has actually been going on in this field. 5/9
Another possibility is that & #39;long range& #39; in this context simply means existing longer range systems the two countries operate. Both Iran& #39;s Shahab 3/Ghadr and the Khorramshahr are based on North Korean systems. 6/9
Iran has equipped both of them with precision guidance and, unlike North Korea, seems to have made the Musudan/Khorramshahr work to some extent. So again, some cooperation would make sense. 7/9
One important thing to keep in mind is that missile cooperation between both countries is not a one-way street. While Iran& #39;s early missile program was almost entirely dependent on the DPRK, Iranians later claimed they surpassed North Korea in the field of liquid fuel. 8/9
Whether that is 100% true is another question, but it is important to note that cooperation with the DPRK could take many different forms (Iranian assistance, true co-development, sourcing of components, testing etc). The times when Iran simply bought entire systems are over. 9/9
