You think social distancing, mask wearing, toxic hand sanitizers and quarantines are keeping the numbers low?
You may as well believe that snapping your fingers keep the tigers away.
Such assumptions are based on erroneous predictive models that are also based on assumptions.1/
No one could dispute the importance of hygiene and sanitation when it comes to containing the spread of communicable diseases. But let's be clear - stop using boatloads of toxic hand sanitizers when good old soap and water will do just fine.2/
PCR tests are prone to shockingly high rate of false positive results. Testing asymptomatic people is useless.
Since May there have been 233,000 tests done in AB. Only 7% of 10,000 are positive. That's about 160 positive tests!
6/
7 of 10,000 not %
Testing is not a reliable tool to confirm clinical diagnosis. PCR tests are non-specific and can not measure active viral load. There are two problems with that:
1. A positive test can not confirm whether the pathogen resulting in symptoms is indeed SARS-Cov-2.4/
Could be any other pathogen, including other coronaviruses or influenza virus for that matter
2. The test can not distinguish between infectious and non-infectious viral nucleic acid, which means the test can not determine a person's infectious status.5/
PCR tests are prone to shockingly high rate of false positive results. Testing asymptomatic people is useless.
Since May there have been 233,000 tests done in AB. Only 7% of 10,000 are positive. That's about 160 positive tests!7/
Until public health officials figure out the true parameters and definition of "case" we will have the same problem - endless casedemic, because what they think they are testing for and what they are finding are two different things.
As for social distancing and mask wearing - there is no scientific basis for these practices. Isolating sick people is common sense. Isolating the healthy is nonsense.
Testing is problematic, because it is a highly inaccurate tool.3/
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