In the last 24 hours, two more Ontario #LTC residents died of #COVID19: https://ottawacitizen.com/news/local-news/two-more-residents-die-in-covid-19-outbreak-at-extendicare-west-end-villa

There remain 22 active Ontario #LTC home outbreaks (see figure).

@ASPphysician has challenged me to say what must be done to get this under control.

Here it is (a thread).

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We need swift action to control community transmission of #COVID19 which is getting out of control.

In our @CMAJ study, the prevalence of #COVID19 in the community surrounding a home was strongly associated with the odds of an outbreak (aOR = 1.91): https://www.cmaj.ca/content/192/33/E946

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Controlling community transmission is imperative, as staff neighborhood characteristics are also significant predictors of outbreaks: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/medrxiv/early/2020/09/11/2020.09.10.20192203.full.pdf

As @DFisman showed, lagged staff infections were associated with death among #LTC residents: https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2768539

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There is no clear emergency management plan—the province must:

1. Establish guidelines & expectations for hospital SWAT Teams, and provide the necessary support: https://news.ontario.ca/en/release/56737/ontario-takes-immediate-steps-to-further-protect-long-term-care-residents-and-staff-during-covid-19
2. Develop policies for transferring #LTC residents to hospital: https://advantageontario.informz.ca/advantageontario/data/images/Letter%20on%20Decanting%20to%20Hospitals%20Policy.pdf

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There is also no emergency workforce, and #LTC homes have been told they cannot rely on hospitals during this second wave (see enclosed letter).

The province must establish an emergency workforce—organizations like the @redcrosscanada could assist: https://www.redcross.ca/about-us/media-news/news-releases/red-cross-recruits-1-000-canadians-to-join-its-humanitarian-workforce-in-long-term-care-homes-in-que

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