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Week 1 Completed Air Yards Over Expectation (CAYOE) passing leaders.
CAYOE is basically @NextGenStats CPOE*Air Yards, with passes behind the LOS excluded.
E.g. Imagine a 10-yard pass with a 60% chance of completion. If complete, that’s a +4 CAYOE play. If incomplete, it’s a -6.
CAYOE is basically @NextGenStats CPOE*Air Yards, with passes behind the LOS excluded.
E.g. Imagine a 10-yard pass with a 60% chance of completion. If complete, that’s a +4 CAYOE play. If incomplete, it’s a -6.
Why do it? Because while CPOE accounts for the difficulty of the depth of target, it doesn’t account for the value
E.g. if Wilson and Brees are both +10s in CPOE, completing 10 % points over expectation is a lot more valuable on Wilson passes (deep) than on Brees passes (short)
E.g. if Wilson and Brees are both +10s in CPOE, completing 10 % points over expectation is a lot more valuable on Wilson passes (deep) than on Brees passes (short)
Here's the bottom 5.
CAYOE, just like CPOE, is based on a combination of contributions from the QB and receiver. And we can look at it from the receiver's perspective too.
Here's top 5 receivers in Week 1.
Here's top 5 receivers in Week 1.
And bottom 5
We can also do CAYOE per route run for receivers. Here are the leaders here. Scotty Miller hive, activate.
