Week 1 Completed Air Yards Over Expectation (CAYOE) passing leaders.

CAYOE is basically @NextGenStats CPOE*Air Yards, with passes behind the LOS excluded.

E.g. Imagine a 10-yard pass with a 60% chance of completion. If complete, that’s a +4 CAYOE play. If incomplete, it’s a -6.

Why do it? Because while CPOE accounts for the difficulty of the depth of target, it doesn’t account for the value

E.g. if Wilson and Brees are both +10s in CPOE, completing 10 % points over expectation is a lot more valuable on Wilson passes (deep) than on Brees passes (short)

Here& #39;s the bottom 5.

CAYOE, just like CPOE, is based on a combination of contributions from the QB and receiver. And we can look at it from the receiver& #39;s perspective too.

Here& #39;s top 5 receivers in Week 1.

And bottom 5

We can also do CAYOE per route run for receivers. Here are the leaders here. Scotty Miller hive, activate.