Significant announcement today from @vonderleyen - EU increases ambition for GHG emissions reduction - what does it mean for Ireland?

EU target is to reduce GHG emissions by 55% below 1990 levels by 2030. If this target is directly applied to Ireland, it would mean we have to reduce emissions to 25 million tonnes CO2eq (from current levels of 60 million tonnes) by 2030

Our Government ambition is to achieve a 7% per annum reduction by 2030. This translates into a reduction to 30 million tonnes by 2030.

So does this suggest our ambition lower than the EU ambition?
Starting point important here - our current emissions are approx 10% above 1990 levels. EU current emissions are approx 25% below 1990 levels.

Also, EU 55% target does not mean each Member State will have a 55% target.

EU target will be split into two distinct targets - one for large emitters (in EU Emissions Trading Scheme) - and another one that will be distributed amongst Member States (for non-ETS emissions)

The EU target for non-ETS emissions is currently a 30% reduction by 2030 relative to 2005 levels.

This will now need to be increased in light of today’s announcement.

Ireland’s current mandatory non-ETS target is 30% by 2030 under EU Effort Sharing Agreement.

Ireland’s mandatory target for non-ETS emissions (heating, transport and agriculture) may increase to a 45-50% reduction by 2030 relative to 2005 levels.
Irish Government 2030 ambition of 7% per annum is for all GHG emissions.

It should incorporate the revised mandatory EU 2030 non-ETS target for Ireland.

Non-ETS emissions reduction are generally more challenging to achieve than ETS emissions. Watch this space ...

Thread Ends
One final point - if we compare EU 2030 target with Irish Government 2030 ambition ...

Relative to 1990 GHG, EU target is a 55% reduction. Irish Govt ambition represents a 45% reduction.

Relative to current GHG, EU target is approx 33% reduction. Irish Govt ambition is 51%.
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