2) into further details about the 6 Battleground States poll that will be released by @EpochTimes Iowa and Ohio are done according to Richard. He thinks Ohio will have a bigger margin than Iowa. He thinks that all House Congressional seats in Iowa will belong to the Republicans.
3) The 250K Iron Range working males that didn’t vote in 2016 will be voting in this Election and the majority will be voting for PDJT. St. Louis county in MN that went to HRC by a margin of 14 will be flipped this year. Meaning 3 out of the 4 counties in the Northeast area of MN
4) will be flipped to Republican. Biden has to run up massive numbers in the Twin Cities. He has to hold PDJT to the mid to lower 20% there. If PDJT gets 30%+, you can kiss MN goodbye. The problem for Biden is that PDJT has made gains in Urban areas.

PA data has surprised
5) Richard. Especially given the fact that Republicans have gained so many more registered voters than Democrats since 2016. Yet the crossover margin is identical to 2016 for PDJT (12%-14%). Biden at this point is only getting 5% of Republicans. Richard thinks it might be 6%-7%
6) by the time he finishes polling the State. PDJT is getting 20% of the Black vote in PA. PDJT could flip Bucks County that went to HRC by 2%. Erie County and Luzernne May have higher margins for PDJT this year compared to 2016. PDJT is winning Independents by 5% but they are a
7) small % of the electorate.

Richard was surprised by the State of Michigan. He thought Biden would have a bigger lead. PDJT is winning Macombs County by a bigger margin than 2016. Biden needs to run up big numbers in Wayne County. Again PDJT’s has to be in the low 20% range.
8) PDJT is struggling in Wisconsin especially with the 30% of Independents. In 2016 it wasn’t until the last week before the election that late deciders broke for PDJT. That could happen again.

Richard has never seen a presidential candidate with such low enthusiasm like Biden.
9) Using his model where voters that are likely to vote are from 30% to 100%, Biden is up 1 in all 6 states. At 50%, PDJT is up 6 points. The problem for Biden is that his enthusiasm is so low that the 30%-49% likely voter won’t vote. That is why mail in ballots are so critical.
10) People are more likely to mail a ballot than to show up in person to vote.

My Point: Problem for Biden and the Democrats is that applications for mail in ballots went out to every voter. The voter has to request it. Unlike NV, CA,VT and the 5 states that have been voting by
11) mail, all ballots are sent out regardless if you didn’t request it.

Richard thinks Florida and NC will go to PDJT by bigger margins than 2016.

If PDJT wins PA and losses AZ, MN, MI, NH and WI, he will have 275 electoral votes. If he wins PA, MN and NH and loses AZ, MI & WI
12) he will have 289 electoral votes. Pennsylvania is everything for Biden. He needs a straight flush to win not PDJT!
13) ADDENDUM More problems for Biden in PA. These people aren’t voting for him! https://twitter.com/vernonc_maxwell/status/1305873669604990976
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