https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🚨" title="Polizeiautos mit drehendem Licht" aria-label="Emoji: Polizeiautos mit drehendem Licht">https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇬🇧" title="Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge des Vereinigten Königreiches">https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇪🇺" title="Flagge der Europäischen Union" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge der Europäischen Union">https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🚢" title="Schiff" aria-label="Emoji: Schiff">https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🚚" title="Lieferwagen" aria-label="Emoji: Lieferwagen">https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🤷‍♂️" title="Achselzuckender Mann" aria-label="Emoji: Achselzuckender Mann">https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🤷‍♂️" title="Achselzuckender Mann" aria-label="Emoji: Achselzuckender Mann">https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🚨" title="Polizeiautos mit drehendem Licht" aria-label="Emoji: Polizeiautos mit drehendem Licht">NEW: nearly 2/3 customs agents say they don’t have enough staff to handle coming border, per survey of @BIFA members...my latest via @FT and why companies are struggling to prepare. 1/thread https://on.ft.com/2ZB9yqJ ">https://on.ft.com/2ZB9yqJ&q...
So as Robert Keen @BIFA_DG tells me, in a survey back in May "only" 50% of members said they& #39;d be short of staff - now its 64% - which tallies with members raising concerns on Covid-19 /3
Because while it is true that Govt has put £50m into increasing numbers/training the reality is that many freight forwarding companies (whose staff will facilitate new border processes) have been furloughing staff dealing with Covid cashflow crunch...not rushing to take on risk/4
This is why Richard Burnett @RHARichardB and others have been banging on about government need to intervene more actively in a commercial marketplace that Whitehall (and politicians) are failing to understand the dynamics of (see 4, above) /5
The result as @RHARichardB @BIFA_DG and experts like @AnnaJerzewska say is that we& #39;re nowhere close to being ready for Jan 1 - deal or no deal.

But it& #39;s not just about the 50,000 customs clearance experts that don& #39;t yet exist...the chronic lack of info. For EG.../6
As @AnnaJerzewska tells me, the government has said that business will be eligible for simplified eligibility requirements for CCG Comprehensive Customs Guarantee (duty deferral) and Entry in Declarant& #39;s Records (EIDR) status (for checks at warehouse)...BUT no guidance, as yet /7
The result is that business is getting conflicting advice, says @AnnaJerzewska on whether they should hold out for simplified regime, or protect themselves by getting full registrations. The result is stasis/confusion etc. /8
FWIW I did ask the Cabinet Office (which runs the Border Delivery Group) for guidance on WHEN these details will be shared with relevant businesses. Back came the reply: "in due course".

Yes, that is the sound of hair follicles being torn from scalps /9
This is the problem - it& #39;s not just about customs agents or form filling - but about all the actors - hauliers, brokers, relevant government departments, port authorities and traders - working in concert with each other. Which brings us to IT..../10
The government has a new Goods Vehicle Management System (GVMS) and the Smart Freight Service app in order for hauliers to check they& #39;re good to go and not turn Kent into a lorry park....but it& #39;s still not available for users to train on. In fact..../11
If you want a broader view of the issues - which really centre on trader readiness and their capacity to get ready when they wake up to the scale of change coming, last week& #39;s select committee with @AnnaJerzewska @RHARichardB @RobHardyFR8 is here/13

https://parliamentlive.tv/Event/Index/d0402d1b-0a13-4b4d-981f-59060e08eb75">https://parliamentlive.tv/Event/Ind...
So what is going on? Why is the government so apparently cavalier about industry warnings/frustrations...and the risks of & #39;no deal& #39;, which they just made much higher by putting a gun to EU heads over the Irish Protocol? /14
Good Q, to which you hear a variety of answers from Whitehall insiders and industry...

One is that that Frost and co have actually given up on getting a zero tariff/zero quota deal on terms they find acceptable... hence move to re-write NI Protocol /15
There is a brute logic to this, since the Protocol as negotiated is incompatible with an ultra-sovereigntist view of Brexit which is the logic for refusing to agree sufficient State Aid/LPF elements to get the zero/zero deal you need to make NI Protocol work /16
If that& #39;s right - and who knows, but it logical inference of the way that UK Internal Market bill is drafted (see Section 45 totally disapplying the Protocol) - and you know the border is going to be a mess, there is political logic in having "EU intransigence" to blame /17
No matter that Article 16 of the Protocol and the Arbitration mechanism in the Withdrawal Agreement gives you plenty of ways to address your concerns...no-one will say it right out, but on one reading, this is now just blame game management /18
Or not. Perhaps its an honest calculation that the EU will do a & #39;zero/zero& #39; deal with no UK State Aid regulator + re-write the NI Protocol in face of UK aggression. That EU leaders& #39; will intervene.

Or perhaps both - i.e. an acceptance UK can live with either outcome? /19
But with friction coming to the border deal or & #39;no deal& #39; (it& #39;ll be worse in a & #39;no deal& #39; but no-one can say for sure how much worse, so easy to put those fears aside) it seems clear that "chaos in Kent" will not be much of a determining factor. Seat belts please. ENDS
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