Read on Twitter
Off the back of this (which may well be empty gossip), some slightly disjointed thoughts.
In the current govt, Johnson is a shell. No authority, no plan, no decision-making.
The real power is the axis of Gove-Cummings
1/ https://twitter.com/RussInCheshire/status/1305593614526013447
In the current govt, Johnson is a shell. No authority, no plan, no decision-making.
The real power is the axis of Gove-Cummings
1/ https://twitter.com/RussInCheshire/status/1305593614526013447
But Gove must know he can't be next. He's tried and failed twice. He's better (by his estimation) as a power behind the throne. So although he's touted, I personally doubt it.
Cummings won't survive if Johnson goes. A successor won't tolerate him.
2/
Cummings won't survive if Johnson goes. A successor won't tolerate him.
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Opposite Corbyn, the Tory front bench could pick almost anyone. Opposing Starmer, they need somebody serious.
If it happens fast, I'd bet on Sunak. Currently popular cos he's "Captain Giveaway"
But very soon the bills need to be paid, and his lustre will fade fast.
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If it happens fast, I'd bet on Sunak. Currently popular cos he's "Captain Giveaway"
But very soon the bills need to be paid, and his lustre will fade fast.
3/
So if Johnson waits until ~March 2021, Sunak's time may have gone.
From the remaining front bench, we have such a relentlessly weak and unpopular team it's hard to imagine the nation accepting any of them. Raab. Patel. Truss. Leadsome. Shapps. All voter-repellent trash.
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From the remaining front bench, we have such a relentlessly weak and unpopular team it's hard to imagine the nation accepting any of them. Raab. Patel. Truss. Leadsome. Shapps. All voter-repellent trash.
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This presupposes the British public will accept what will be, by then, the 5th successive PM to take office without winning an election. Times will be febrile a year into Covid, with (predicted) 10-12% unemployment and Brexit gone badly wrong. Could collapse any govt.
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There is - I hate to use the word - more talent on the backbenches. But almost all of them are Brexit sceptics with a history of saying no to the voters that count ... the 0.5% of the electorate that are Tory members. Hunt is the big beast, but I doubt they'll accept him
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Where does this lead? It leads where almost all paths for the Tories are leading: dead end. They survived a decade by lying, but here comes the truth, and it demands payment. Their time is up. They're exhausted and out of ideas. All 10-15 year govts end like this
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The problem for us - actual humans - is that they can hang on for years with an 80 seat majority, in power but not able to govern, lost, flailing, destroying at will, ineptly fronted by whatever useless halfwit miraculously falls over the line next time
Happy 2021 everybody!
Happy 2021 everybody!
