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A Sunday night (9/13) mini-tweet-fest of data on North Carolina absentee by mail ballots, based on ballots requested, returned, and--most importantly--those accepted:
780,184 requested
23,452 returned so far
22,709 accepted for Nov. 3rd's general election
#ncpol #ncvotes
780,184 requested
23,452 returned so far
22,709 accepted for Nov. 3rd's general election
#ncpol #ncvotes
Among NC requested absentee by mail ballots:
Registered Democrats: 51%
Reg Unaffiliated: 32%
Reg Republicans: 17%
Among NC returned & accepted ABM ballots:
Reg Dems: 58%
Reg Unaff: 29%
Reg Reps: 13%
Overall acceptance rate: nearly 3% of 780K requests
#ncpol #ncvotes
Registered Democrats: 51%
Reg Unaffiliated: 32%
Reg Republicans: 17%
Among NC returned & accepted ABM ballots:
Reg Dems: 58%
Reg Unaff: 29%
Reg Reps: 13%
Overall acceptance rate: nearly 3% of 780K requests
#ncpol #ncvotes
RE: returned NC absentee by mail ballots:
White voters: 98% accepted
Black voters: 92%
Hispanic voters: 96%
Overall: 97%
IMPORTANT: Voters whose ballots are not accepted will be sent another ballot & info on correcting the issue, usually witness information #ncpol #ncvotes
White voters: 98% accepted
Black voters: 92%
Hispanic voters: 96%
Overall: 97%
IMPORTANT: Voters whose ballots are not accepted will be sent another ballot & info on correcting the issue, usually witness information #ncpol #ncvotes
NC voters who returned ABMs & their 2016 vote methods (if they voted) & their registration year periods (up to 2016 if no vote in 2016 or 2017-post registration)
Analysis by voter race-ethnicity
So far, nearly 60% of NC ABM returned ballot voters voted in-person early
#ncpol
Analysis by voter race-ethnicity
So far, nearly 60% of NC ABM returned ballot voters voted in-person early
#ncpol
Note, however, that 2/3 of NC's Black/African American voters who have returned an absentee by mail ballot voted absentee onestop (in-person) in 2016 (ie, early voters in-person)
Only 7% of this year's Black voters who returned ABM voted the same method in 2016
#ncpol #ncvotes
Only 7% of this year's Black voters who returned ABM voted the same method in 2016
#ncpol #ncvotes
Of NC absentee by mail ballots returned & accepted:
Overall, 11% voted the same method in 2016
59% voted absentee in-person (early) in 2016
16% registered after 2016
Vote methods by voter race-ethnicity:
#ncpol #ncvotes
Overall, 11% voted the same method in 2016
59% voted absentee in-person (early) in 2016
16% registered after 2016
Vote methods by voter race-ethnicity:
#ncpol #ncvotes
Of ABM ballots not accepted:
Largest % are those which did not have full witness information required on secure envelope (witness name, address, & signature)
Other codes: 'spoiled' (usually a request from voter); pending; returned undeliverable; signature different
Largest % are those which did not have full witness information required on secure envelope (witness name, address, & signature)
Other codes: 'spoiled' (usually a request from voter); pending; returned undeliverable; signature different
In looking at incomplete witness information:
58% are from Black/African American voters, who (and all with this issue) will receive another ballot with instructions to fix the witness issue and resubmit for acceptance, per @NCSBE: https://s3.amazonaws.com/dl.ncsbe.gov/sboe/numbermemo/2020/Numbered%20Memo%202020-19_Absentee%20Deficiencies.pdf
#ncpol #ncvotes
58% are from Black/African American voters, who (and all with this issue) will receive another ballot with instructions to fix the witness issue and resubmit for acceptance, per @NCSBE: https://s3.amazonaws.com/dl.ncsbe.gov/sboe/numbermemo/2020/Numbered%20Memo%202020-19_Absentee%20Deficiencies.pdf
#ncpol #ncvotes
Important to note: of those voters who were missing/had incomplete witness information:
Only 4% of Black/African American voters voted this same method (absentee by mail) in 2016
7% of White voters with IWI issues voted absentee by mail in 2016
#ncpol #ncvotes
Only 4% of Black/African American voters voted this same method (absentee by mail) in 2016
7% of White voters with IWI issues voted absentee by mail in 2016
#ncpol #ncvotes
Important thread to understand the return process of NC absentee by mail ballots: https://twitter.com/BowTiePolitics/status/1304948372244254721?s=20
#ncpol #ncvotes
#ncpol #ncvotes
