Read on Twitter
Starting a #stablethread on interesting 'Rona resources I come across. Please note that I'm not endorsing any of this, just collecting it in one place.
Declining COVID-19 Case Fatality Rates across all ages: analysis of German data: https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/declining-covid-19-case-fatality-rates-across-all-ages-analysis-of-german-data/
Great video going over lots of graphs
This one was so spicy that the video interview from
@HooverInst
got censored by YouTube. Thats right, a Stanford medical doctor got censored for his questioning of lockdowns. Y'all need to wake up if you want to get out of this with some rights in tact: https://www.hoover.org/research/doctor-scott-atlas-and-efficacy-lockdowns-social-distancing-and-closings-1
@HooverInst
got censored by YouTube. Thats right, a Stanford medical doctor got censored for his questioning of lockdowns. Y'all need to wake up if you want to get out of this with some rights in tact: https://www.hoover.org/research/doctor-scott-atlas-and-efficacy-lockdowns-social-distancing-and-closings-1
From above:
"As we said in the article, for instance, 650,000 Americans have cancer and undergo chemotherapy right now, currently. Half of them stop getting their chemotherapy. That's actually happened in the U.S. during this so-called lockdown."
"As we said in the article, for instance, 650,000 Americans have cancer and undergo chemotherapy right now, currently. Half of them stop getting their chemotherapy. That's actually happened in the U.S. during this so-called lockdown."
"In a study of 3000 hospital-discharged Covid patients, only 3.6% returned for emergency care. Only 56 required re-admisson. Most of those were for people who stayed less time during the first admission." https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11606-020-06120-6?fbclid=IwAR1-axmG1Rq7Ooi3HYTwUl1WImR4dPXBiDgKUk3m8lM7DENci3u6swBAtc8
Good numbers on actual ICU capacity in Texas which is a notoriously difficult piece of data to acquire: https://abc13.com/texas-bars-restaurants-open-gyms-capacity-greg-abbott-press-conference/6424384/
Interesting cover up from the mayor of Nashville trying to cover up that very few cases come from restaurants and bars which contradicts the article above saying that restaurants/bars are nationally recognized as places where intense covid spread happens https://fox17.com/news/local/covid-19-emails-from-nashville-mayors-office-show-disturbing-revelation
Before 2020 there were about 170 observational studies on the efficacy of social distancing and 0 randomized double-blind control studies. https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)31142-9/fulltext
First time I've heard questioning of lockdowns from voices on the left. This is in regards to how lockdowns disproportionately hurt those in poverty which should be obvious but really hasn't been discussed: https://jacobinmag.com/2020/09/covid-19-pandemic-economy-us-response-inequality
TL;DR: the fatality risk doesn't exceed half a percent until age 65. It doesn't go over 1% until age 70. Under the age of 30, the IFR is 0.01% or less. Children under the age of 15 are at statistically undetectable risk.
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.08.24.20180851v1.full.pdf?fbclid=IwAR0_WgagmnNA4B0bJPdkflMPMsdQGnfaOEjii5kCO_XplyKAp1hkui72QgQ
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.08.24.20180851v1.full.pdf?fbclid=IwAR0_WgagmnNA4B0bJPdkflMPMsdQGnfaOEjii5kCO_XplyKAp1hkui72QgQ
"The discrepancy with the actual mortality data is staggering: for people aged 18–24, the share of those worried about serious health consequences is 400 times higher than the share of total COVID deaths; for those age 25–34 it is 90 times higher."
https://www.franklintempleton.com/investor/article?contentPath=html%2Fftthinks%2Fen-us-retail%2Fcio-views%2Fon-my-mind-they-blinded-us-from-science.html&fbclid=IwAR1dBiTg6_swBaUBj4cSm734JOSD4A7citbyaQlEQU4ir3kZxLxOSHmNN3k
https://www.franklintempleton.com/investor/article?contentPath=html%2Fftthinks%2Fen-us-retail%2Fcio-views%2Fon-my-mind-they-blinded-us-from-science.html&fbclid=IwAR1dBiTg6_swBaUBj4cSm734JOSD4A7citbyaQlEQU4ir3kZxLxOSHmNN3k
This one seems important in relation to excess deaths: https://twitter.com/EthicalSkeptic/status/1307505375533559808?s=19
Finally, some responsible adults in the room are calling for some sanity in a world that has gone mad: https://twitter.com/ProfKarolSikora/status/1307972101463212032
Here is good data on the current hospitalizations from the BBC in Europe in the second wave. Along with deaths, it is very low. Thankfully saner heads prevail in France and no lockdown so far.
Has this virus become less deadly?
Has this virus become less deadly?
I'm bookmarking these for later reading. I do not endorse these as of yet, but will be tracking down the sources for this and if it doesn't seem legit, I'll delete: https://twitter.com/FatEmperor/status/1308176589637779456?s=20
Lots of signal here on transmission. The regulations on outdoor public gatherings were incredibly stupid: https://twitter.com/mugecevik/status/1308080056384843777
Interesting data on how many respiratory diseases which are endemic to humans now and what we vaccinate against: https://twitter.com/BallouxFrancois/status/1308163995002720256?s=20
I found another pandemic (1889) to study, which some theorize may be one of the previous coronaviruses that became endemic to humanity. Its so interesting that we have these viruses that become part of the human experience: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1889%E2%80%931890_pandemic
Swedish doctors perspective who worked in ICUs in March. He says that in Sweden people arent really social distancing anymore with no new rise in cases:
https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/how-dangerous-is-covid-a-swedish-doctor-s-perspective/amp?__twitter_impression=true&fbclid=IwAR3tHLVzfM5KwxCAaftA9o3cfUjLQVdqjInJIv4J-u3_p64iOJw7yIJz0vU
https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/how-dangerous-is-covid-a-swedish-doctor-s-perspective/amp?__twitter_impression=true&fbclid=IwAR3tHLVzfM5KwxCAaftA9o3cfUjLQVdqjInJIv4J-u3_p64iOJw7yIJz0vU
The problem with social distancing isn't epidemiological in nature, its based in human behavior. I find it naive that a bunch of politicians think that its possible for all of humanity to completely cut off interactions with other people for 7 months. Its not based in reality:
"It remains unclear why the virus spread so quickly, where mobility data shows people did begin social distancing in March. the outbreak may have been accelerated by dense housing, poor water supplies, and crowding on local public transportation boats" https://www.technologyreview.com/2020/09/22/1008709/brazil-manaus-covid-coronavirus-herd-immunity-pandemic/
Damn this video hits home: https://twitter.com/NickHudsonCT/status/1308739692708466688?s=20
In relation to potential herd immunity in NYC:
A survey of over 28,000 people in New York in July, looking for Covid-19 specific IgG antibodies found a prevalence of 44% -- twice as high as the usually reported IgM testing results. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7372255/?fbclid=IwAR38MLvnyOJS49tliQnE1pg5M4M-AY7ibJ8kk1yR6njMbCdLKsvwQzlcn54
A survey of over 28,000 people in New York in July, looking for Covid-19 specific IgG antibodies found a prevalence of 44% -- twice as high as the usually reported IgM testing results. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7372255/?fbclid=IwAR38MLvnyOJS49tliQnE1pg5M4M-AY7ibJ8kk1yR6njMbCdLKsvwQzlcn54
Some more sanity: https://twitter.com/Milhouse_Van_Ho/status/1309033506589356032?s=19
CDC's latest estimates on Infection Fatality Rate: https://twitter.com/StewartalsopIII/status/1309619377965117440?s=20
Compare the above with the IFR from the most recent flu pandemic in 2009: https://twitter.com/StewartalsopIII/status/1309622033022480385?s=20
And the IFR of seasonal flu is .1% but I'm very skeptical of this number given the pandemic number cited above, although I've seen .1% repeated several times now. Can you link to better IFR estimate of seasonal flu? https://www.healthline.com/health-news/why-covid-19-isnt-the-flu
Hospitalizations and deaths of college students: https://twitter.com/bgurley/status/1310013283177390080?s=20
Interesting thread on how we can even empirically verify covid deaths: https://twitter.com/JVarContinental/status/1310072538534277120?s=19
Such a good visualization https://twitter.com/paldhous/status/1310243421768970241?s=20:
People are not going to hospitals to get non-COVID related treatments even though they have worsening conditions: https://twitter.com/ProfKarolSikora/status/1310257971763515393?s=20
Lockdown enthusiasts have been played by the propaganda machine of the CCP. They need to end now. https://twitter.com/DavidRachford/status/1310294190018818048?s=19
From above, Interesting to note what the @nytimes published in January:
As one expert told The New York Times, “the shutdown would almost certainly lead to human rights violations and would be patently unconstitutional in the United States.”
Compared with only a few weeks later
As one expert told The New York Times, “the shutdown would almost certainly lead to human rights violations and would be patently unconstitutional in the United States.”
Compared with only a few weeks later
The New York Times immediately cited WHO’s report, forming a pro-lockdown stance it has clung to for months with surprisingly little introspection: “China ‘took one of the most ancient strategies and rolled out one of the most ambitious, agile and aggressive disease-containment..
Lock downs declared unconstitutional in Pennsylvania: https://apnews.com/article/pennsylvania-tom-wolf-pandemics-virus-outbreak-public-health-5f01f375f1fcc3a3ed5a1f4f17f1e8cb
Some more non-covid related effects of the lockdown in South Africa: https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1294285483426697218?s=20
Here is corroboration of the article I shared yesterday about CCP using social media to spread lockdowns as the best way to deal with the virus (from the @nytimes no less): https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/08/technology/china-twitter-disinformation.html
Jesus:
Eighty-seven percent of bars, restaurants, nightclubs and event spaces in the five boroughs could not pay their full August rent, according to data from 457 businesses surveyed between Aug. 25 and Sept. 11, https://nypost.com/2020/09/21/almost-90-percent-of-nyc-bars-and-restaurants-couldnt-pay-august-rent/
Eighty-seven percent of bars, restaurants, nightclubs and event spaces in the five boroughs could not pay their full August rent, according to data from 457 businesses surveyed between Aug. 25 and Sept. 11, https://nypost.com/2020/09/21/almost-90-percent-of-nyc-bars-and-restaurants-couldnt-pay-august-rent/
The move from reopening based on deaths and hospitalizations to only case positivity rates is one of the stupidest of many stupid moves California has made.
What happens if the virus becomes less deadly (like it has in France)? https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-09-28/california-businesses-reopening-coronavirus-case-rate
What happens if the virus becomes less deadly (like it has in France)? https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-09-28/california-businesses-reopening-coronavirus-case-rate
“It’s all arbitrary,” Rutherford said. “There’s not some page in an epidemiology textbook that you could point to and say, ‘This is how you do this.’ ... We’re learning as we go along.”
It's pretty clear that if a virus isn't putting people in the hospital it isnt a threat.
It's pretty clear that if a virus isn't putting people in the hospital it isnt a threat.
Interesting to see how many other respiratory viruses are in circulation although I haven't fact checked this number: https://twitter.com/BallouxFrancois/status/1310369585573572610?s=19
Another issue with relying on case positivity rates to determine whether to reopen or not: https://twitter.com/JordanSchachtel/status/1310751639352020997?s=20
If you don't totally understand what he is getting at here is more in-depth explanation: https://jordanschachtel.substack.com/p/how-the-nfl-is-playing-through-covid
A document from WHO in 2019 that makes it pretty clear that lockdowns were not an accepted means for stopping an infectious respiratory virus before covid hit : https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1254797706016493571?s=19
Hard numbers on how airlines are being affected: https://twitter.com/BBCBusiness/status/1311058079413305345?s=19
List of states and countries making the evidence-based move: https://twitter.com/dockaurG/status/1311118291788869632?s=20
Remember in 1968, a comparable pandemic to our current one, there was no economic contraction: https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/1311290750982909955?s=19
