Today, we're gonna take a look at the two competitive districts in the Delaware Senate for 2020: SD5 and SD7. Both have "moderate" Republican incumbents and sizeable Democratic registration advantages. (1/7) #netde #ElectionTwitter

In 2016, long-time SD5 incumbent Catherine Cloutier overwhelmed her weak challenger. However, in SD7, newcomer Anthony Delcollo leveraged local truck traffic issues and a weak campaign from the long-time incumbent to eek out a 1-point win. (2/7)

However, while these districts were voting for Republicans at the State Senate level, Hillary Clinton was sweeping all precincts and capturing >15 point victories. This is especially important in SD5, a suburban seat similar to those that empowered the 2018 blue wave. (3/7)

An even more promising sign for Democrats, the 2018 State Treasurer race saw new/latecomer Colleen Davis "moderate" Republican Ken Simpler by 8 and 15 points in the districts respectively, and statewide by 6. (4/7)

SD5 Democratic candidate Kyle Evans Gay looks poised to win the primary on Sept. 15th, with $58k on hand (compared with $2k for her closest opponent) and a strong list of endorsers. SD7 Democratic candidate Spiros Mantzavinos does not face a primary. (5/7)

Both incumbents have created significant warchests, SD5's Cloutier (R) with $104k and SD7's Delcollo (R) with $41k according to the 2019 annual report. And in a repeat from 2016, I've seen a Delcollo billboard. (6/7)

With Delaware's favorite son Joe Biden at the top of the ticket and partisanship stronger than ever, potentially record-breaking turnout could push out two Clinton-district Republican incumbents and give Delaware Democrats a 14-7 supermajority in the State Senate. (7/7)