The sheer volume of reporters/newspapers/tv stations that have unquestioningly accepted the results of the #SturgisRally study is... well... disappointing

There are some assumptions in it that could very well be flawed. ($46K per case for example)

I looked at CO data...
(more)
Study specifically references Jefferson, Weld, and Adams counties where 1.) lots of residents went to Sturgis and 2.)saw a notable increase in COVID cases.

So, I looked at each county& #39;s data...

Adams, for example, experienced NO marked increase.

https://www.tchd.org/823/Case-Updates">https://www.tchd.org/823/Case-...
Jefferson County did see a small bump,... but it didn& #39;t sustain itself

https://www.jeffco.us/4007/COVID-19-Case-Summary">https://www.jeffco.us/4007/COVI...
Weld County...

little to no bump

https://www.weldgov.com/departments/health_and_environment/2019_novel_coronavirus/covid19_data">https://www.weldgov.com/departmen...
To be clear, I& #39;m not saying the study is wrong...

But I am guessing most reporters reporting on this have yet to even read the study

Here it is if you want to read it:
http://ftp.iza.org/dp13670.pdf ">https://ftp.iza.org/dp13670.p...
The study suggests Sturgis was a superspreader event that could be tied to a quarter of a million cases

With a cost of $12.2 BILLION to the health care system

Yet in the three Colorado counties that saw a high number of people go... the Colorado data shows no sustained growth
Could that change?

Sure

Was it responsible for thousands of people to crowd together in a SD town in the middle of a pandemic?

You can decide for yourself

BUT

for reporters to take the non-peer reviewed study w/o question for cheap clicks...

WELL.

That& #39;s not great
And THIS IS PRECISELY WHY OUR NAYSAYERS CRITICIZE US

By sharing the negative "sky is falling" stories w/o questioning it... and simultaneously showing skepticism of stories that suggest maybe it& #39;s not

we become unwitting cheerleaders in a story with huge policy implications.
All I& #39;m asking for is consistent level of skepticism to be shared across the spectrum on this story.

That& #39;s all...

We& #39;ve scared people, sometimes (but not always) needlessly so.

This story is scary enough without our worst tendencies adding more fuel to this fire.
You can follow @chrisvanderveen.
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