Key points from a rare Chinese analysis of border conflict with India by Yang Siling, vice director of Institute for South Asian Studies at Yunnan Academy of Social Sciences, "The Bloody Conflict in the Galwan Valley: India's Dangerous Game and Its Impact on CHN-IND Relations”
He describes the border clash as a “tragedy for the development of China-India relations” entirely caused by India's power game which on the surface looks like an outburst of nationalism but in reality is "Modi’s attempt to ride the wave of the US-China confrontation"
Three factors drive the relationship towards "antagonistic decoupling" 对抗脱钩. First, the scope of India's economic retaliation against China will continue to expand, ruining the prospect for deepened economic cooperation between the two sides.
Second, India's "power game" approach and China's "Community of shared destiny for mankind" have become two different discourse systems and there is a total absence of bridges for mutual understanding.
Third, there is an “americanization” of India's domestic politics which undermines the prospect for peaceful coexistence between China and India, as like in the US, India's political parties scramble to target China.
The only thing that prevents India from winning this power game is the poor state of its military (capabilities; human resources), as a result its attempt to ride the US wave of confronting China has become a "joke" 只不过由于印度军事能力与素质太差导致其应美抗中的权力游戏成为笑柄
The analysis becomes more precise and specific when Yang Siling addresses the actual substance of the border issue. Ladhak Union Territory includes Aksai Chin on paper, and the Galwan Valley is a strategic point between Ladhak and Aksai Chin.
The establishment of Ladhak as Union Territory came with the promise of respecting Line of Actual Control. But India plans to take China's controlled territory in Ladhak and gradually swallow Aksai Chin 然而,时隔不久,印度就要将中国实际控制的拉达克领土纳入囊中,并逐步蚕食阿克塞钦
To sum up, the entire analysis is based on assumptions regarding India's strategic intentions regarding Aksai Chin and India's perception of a window of opportunity. Of course, this lacks a precise chronology of facts to document the border clash and PLA's actions. FWIW!
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