Charts tracking trigger points in Victoria's roadmap to recovery: (thread, 1/5).

1. Avg daily cases in metro Melbourne. Goal: blue line to reach gold band (30-50 / day, 14-day trailing avg).

#COVID19Victoria #COVID19Vic #COVID19Aus #COVID19

2. Avg. daily cases in regional Victoria. Goal: green line going for gold. (<5 / day, 14-day trailing avg).

3. Community spread (orange) + still under investigation (pink line).

*Metro Step 2 contingent on these*. Metro Step 3 may start with <5 unknowns in last 2 weeks. Regional Step 3 may start with 0 unknowns in regional VIC (tho geo data re community spread not provided).

4. 14-day moving avg of all cases statewide.

Various sites / sources will likely have different avgs depending on which daily case input they use.

It could be 1 of 3 - New, net, or true cases based on notification dates. I use last. Metro / regional split only given in net.

Keeping 7-day average on the site based on request.
https://www.covid19data.com.au/ 
https://www.covid19data.com.au/victoria 

Sending Sydney love and respect to all Victorians, especially those in extended lockdown.

Update: @VictorianCHO report today will give 14-day averages, which will be great for clarity. They'll use true daily case notification data for metro / regional cases, which we do not have (we get net changes to totals). Will add those official avgs to these charts.