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Mitro v Adams 
(A short thread)
The £6m #FPL FWD bracket has given us plenty to ponder. Here I compare the 2 most popular assets.
Checkout my @DraftGym article for full details & stats (link at end)
See which bargain you prefer
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Adams beats Mitro in most categories when assessed per 90mins; goals, assists, chances created, goal involvement, penalty box touches & big chances.
Mitrovic benefits as being the FUL talisman, while Adams will be fighting for a start with Long & Obafemi and Ings is the talisman
Mitrovic benefits as being the FUL talisman, while Adams will be fighting for a start with Long & Obafemi and Ings is the talisman
Mitrovic is also on pens. And he's a beast for shots. Shooting 3.6 times per 90mins, 2.6 of these being on target. Both beating Adams. But he has a poor conversion rate of 8.4%. Adams is not much better on 11%.
Both underperformed xG. Although Adams did find form post-restart...
Both underperformed xG. Although Adams did find form post-restart...
He had to though! Adams only scored 2 of the 10 big chances he had last season!
He had an xG of 5.29 but his xGSOT was 2.37. His finishing represented a 55% underporfarmance. Shocking.
Mitro too was poor to a lesser degree. 14.13 & 12.99 respectively, an 8% underporfarmance.
He had an xG of 5.29 but his xGSOT was 2.37. His finishing represented a 55% underporfarmance. Shocking.
Mitro too was poor to a lesser degree. 14.13 & 12.99 respectively, an 8% underporfarmance.
The below chart courtesy of http://understat.com shows there's little difference between the pair.
But not this also includes Mitro's spell at Newcastle.
But not this also includes Mitro's spell at Newcastle.
Mitro TSB: 27.7%
Fulham/Mitro fixtures:
Adams TSB: 2.4% 
Southampton/Adams fixtures:
There's much hype around Mitro given his 26 
in the Champ and kind opening fixtures
But on closer look Adams numbers better Mitro and his fixtures are good. At 2.4% TSB he's a real differential. But owners risk rotation. Mitro is the safe option, but he can easily be swapped..
in the Champ and kind opening fixturesBut on closer look Adams numbers better Mitro and his fixtures are good. At 2.4% TSB he's a real differential. But owners risk rotation. Mitro is the safe option, but he can easily be swapped..
Checkout the full article and detailed statistics @DraftGym below 
#FPLCommunity
https://draftgym.com/fpl-forwards-statistical-comparison
#FPLCommunity
https://draftgym.com/fpl-forwards-statistical-comparison
