The @BGSU covid dashboard is a master-class in bullshitting with numbers. Lives are at risk. Mayor @MikeAspacher and the @cityofbg community should demand answers from @Benjamin_batey and @pres_rogers . 1/n
For context, BGSU opened about 2 weeks ago. The faculty, forced to teach in person, have been pushing for a dashboard so they can make informed decisions about risk. This is the bare minimum that a university should provide its community 2/n
Their case data is reported in two ways. Cumulative (useless) and "this period" which is a bizarre 11 days. Why would they report things in such a strange way? My best guess is because last week they reported ~5 cases. That means they've had 33 in the past week. 3/n
So they're obscuring an increase by adding everything together rather than plotting it by day. Most glaringly, they don't report the number of tests. Is this 33 cases out of 33 tests? 300 tests? 3000? 16,000 students?. A very different story for each of these scenarios. 4/n
My guess is it's not more than a ~300 tests/week because they only test students coming to campus that report symptoms. That would make the actual overall positivity >10%. I'm happy to be proven wrong here with the missing data. 5/n
They go on to tell us how many students are isolated on campus. Here's where my blood boils a bit, of those 33 cases only 6 are being isolated on campus, despite ample open rooms (100%). Why are the rest left off campus to infect others? 6/n
The bottom is where things get genuinely bad. Since March they've tested 420 asymptomatic people in surveillance testing. Just over **2** tests a day, and 1.4% have been positive. 7/n
It's mind blowing that a university would choose not to allocate enough funding during a pandemic to run more than 2 surveillance tests a day. They spend millions a year on football.
Even with terrible testing, 1.4% asymptomatic people tested have come back positive. They call this the overall positivity rate, but it's closer to an attack rate. If 1.4% of 20k students and staff are currently infected that's ~300 cases on campus and they detected 38. 9/n
Yet this measure too strangely stretches back to march . This makes it look like they're doing more testing and artificially deflates what they're calling "overall positivity" because prevalence is likely higher now than any time since march. 10/n
Even with this limited and terrible presentation of data we can conclude that @bgsu is not doing enough testing, probably has several hundred active cases on campus, is refusing to use resources to support the cases they've found, and is risking lives and livelihoods 11/n
I want to apply Hanlon's razor here, and assume that this is just a remarkably incompetent response to the pandemic. It's a little hard to believe because I've heard from faculty that their objections go unanswered. They're afraid for their jobs and health 12/n.
Some even told me that the admin has said they will not close, regardless of the number of positive cases. If this is true, we're firmly in malice territory. I fear @BGSU is intentionally tanking its testing and reporting to avoid backlash from remaining open. 13/n
So, @Pres_Rogers and @Benjamin_Batey... prove me wrong. Release the daily data from the past two weeks. How many tests were conducted each day and how many were positive.

Better yet, test 2000 students/faculty/staff balanced on and off campus. How many are positive? 14/n
If you can't do these things, please know you're risking the lives and health of a lot of people in the Bowling Green Community.

Finally, to @cityofbg and @MikeAspacher, the outbreak is going to get out of hand and fall to the city to clean up. Prepare for it. 15/15
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