That& #39;s interesting. Thanks for providing this info.

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I know that it might sound ridiculous, but I kinda understand why it worked in & #39;16. It& #39;s not necessarily the "social desirability", but it& #39;s more about high number of undecideds that broke for Trump ... https://twitter.com/FWpolitics/status/1302307303299874816">https://twitter.com/FWpolitic...

..No one could have predicted the fact that they would break Trump& #39;s way 2 to 1, but Cahaly risked it and made a (for him) good decision in adding few points for him, assuming that undecideds would break Trump& #39;s way.

Because of that, they were spot on.

This didn& #39;t work well...

... in many races in 2018 (GA,TX or NV are good examples of that)

On the other hand, they assumed that undecideds will break for Republicans in FL just days before election. Adding them few points was a (yet again) risky decision. But they were right.

They are..

.. pretty much gambling with "in one of these races, I can be spot on, when nobody else will, so everybody will focus on this one and forget my other misses".

Now there& #39;s a slight problem with it, this time around.

Most of the people already made up their minds. + For what I witnessed, remaining undecideds are mostly younger people.

Trafalgar might be heading to another great stunt, or a complete debacle...

.... I& #39;m not sure it it is 100% true, but it seems like their uniform swing is R+6.

That& #39;s a lot for an election with so little undecideds and the remaining group of voters not necessarily Trump& #39;s best demographic.

@_Dinger_s @Ignacioo731 @AstorAaron @ElectionMapsCo @SenhorRaposa