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This kind of smearing — which I can't stand — does not happen in survey research outside of media space.
Marist is one of Nate's most "highly-rated" pollsters.
In 2018, they had McCaskill, Donnelly, Nelson, all holding their seats and they did NOT.
Results were not even close. https://twitter.com/RobertCahaly/status/1301910606744891394
Marist is one of Nate's most "highly-rated" pollsters.
In 2018, they had McCaskill, Donnelly, Nelson, all holding their seats and they did NOT.
Results were not even close. https://twitter.com/RobertCahaly/status/1301910606744891394
Gillum and Cordray are NOT the governors of FL and OH. Those "highly rated" pollsters were not even close there, either.
Contrary to his "model" and "highly rated" pollsters, McCaskill, Donnelly and Nelson are no longer U.S. Senators.
Hiding behind broken clock generic ballots.
Contrary to his "model" and "highly rated" pollsters, McCaskill, Donnelly and Nelson are no longer U.S. Senators.
Hiding behind broken clock generic ballots.
These ratings are attacks on someone's character and professionalism posing as some mathematical equation, one that is easily debunked.
And it's all done by those who know nothing about the art/science.
That's not how men or any gender of character behave.
And it's all done by those who know nothing about the art/science.
That's not how men or any gender of character behave.
U.S. Senate in Florida was easier to poll given just two candidates, less risk of social desirability bias.
Here are the final results from the "highly rated" pollsters:
Marist (10/30-11/2) RV/LV: Nelson+5/+4 (50%)
Quinnipiac (10/29-11/4): Nelson+7 (51%)
Let's stop smearing.
Here are the final results from the "highly rated" pollsters:
Marist (10/30-11/2) RV/LV: Nelson+5/+4 (50%)
Quinnipiac (10/29-11/4): Nelson+7 (51%)
Let's stop smearing.
Florida's gov. election was harder to poll B/C of the number of candidates and higher risk of social desirability bias.
Unlike every university and media pollster, @RobertCahaly/ @trafalgar_group caught that DeSantis would have a larger vote margin than Scott.
That matters.
Unlike every university and media pollster, @RobertCahaly/ @trafalgar_group caught that DeSantis would have a larger vote margin than Scott.
That matters.
