true competitors are never content to stand on past glories and always seek the next one.

the IHME, goes for the gold, reaching for new heights of bad prediction and disrepute.

they claim sweden will have 22k deaths by jan if they do not pursue long disproven mitigation efforts

this will be a wonderful test and yet another object lesson in how utterly absurd these models are

sweden has hit herd immunity. they are not going to lock down, nor are they going to wear masks

so we're going to get a great test here. file the graph away and we'll check back

my money is on "spectacularly wrong".

they're betting on basically a quadrupling of deaths in a country that's already past disease break point.

this is not science. it's not even modeling.

it's pandemic horror fiction being passed off as epidemiology.

the IHME cheats and alters their models all the time to make their past predictions look less horrendous.

but screenshots are forever.

we need to track their predictions and see how they turn out. that's the acid test.

thanks to @glencoco4u who pointed out this little gem.