This was one of the few times when the model's dynamic enhancement was suggesting 4 big intra-month events:
1- Stock decline: Initial decline to hedge and then the potential for a short
2- Gold: Potential for a sharp decrease in allocation driven by indicators and trigger
3- Bonds: Potential for a sharp decline in prices - hence short position, which we have been building for sometime
The interesting thing about this is that going into the month we had signals for all of the potential upcoming changes but there were no triggers. Now the triggers have started rolling in. The next few weeks will be interesting. Looks like no asset class will be left alone
So many novice traders will be caught in the cross-fire.
Now we see that all assets are moving down. Not at the same time but day by day. As mentioned previously, people will likely be caught off-guard
This decline continued today with $GLD picking up pace to the downside alongside $SPX $DJI
This thread becomes more and more relevant by every day. $GLD accelerated to the downside. $SPX is on its way. $TLT is acting weird with very low volatility as if getting ready for a big move. No panic in sight to suggest we are near the end.
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