Greece
reports 233 new cases in the last 24 hours.
A small increase from yesterday, where 207 cases were reported.
Hard to predict what may happen in the UK
quarantine review following Scotland’s decision.
Statistically, Greece
is better than yesterday!
My thread

A small increase from yesterday, where 207 cases were reported.
Hard to predict what may happen in the UK

Statistically, Greece

My thread

Greece’s
addition to Scotland’s quarantine list is still bizarre.
When considering the latest figures, Greece
is actually looking better today than it was yesterday!
This puts pressure on the UK government
to follow an approach similar to the Welsh.
/2

When considering the latest figures, Greece

This puts pressure on the UK government

/2
As of this evening, Greece’s
7-day cumulative case rate per 100,000 people is 13.8.
Yesterday, this figure was 14.4.
/3

Yesterday, this figure was 14.4.
/3
The reason for the decrease in the 7-day case rate per 100,000 people is because we’ve seen less new cases today in comparison to last Wednesday, August 26th.
Today we saw 233 new cases.
Last Wednesday, 293 cases.
This is extremely positive to see!
/4
Today we saw 233 new cases.
Last Wednesday, 293 cases.
This is extremely positive to see!
/4
Slightly less tests performed today - 14,154 in comparison to yesterday’s report, where 16,979 were carried out.
Nevertheless, still a sizeable amount, and nothing to be concerned about.
/5
Nevertheless, still a sizeable amount, and nothing to be concerned about.
/5
Despite Scotland’s decision to add Greece
to its quarantine list, statistically, Greece
is in a far better position than other countries.
Take Portugal
, where as of this evening, the 7-day case rate per 100,00 people is 22.9.
/6


Take Portugal

/6
This puts pressure on the UK government
to either:
a) rule out placing Greece
on the quarantine list entirely.
b) follow the approach of the Welsh government, and place regions in Greece
which *MAY* be a cause for concern onto the quarantine list…
/7

a) rule out placing Greece

b) follow the approach of the Welsh government, and place regions in Greece

/7
Ideally we’d all love option A!
However, option B is more pragmatic.
If the UK government
deems its necessary… it is FAR better than adding the entirety of Greece
to the UK
quarantine list…
… when it remains safer than many other European holiday destinations!
/8
However, option B is more pragmatic.
If the UK government



… when it remains safer than many other European holiday destinations!
/8
Scotland’s decision does make it harder to predict what may happen tomorrow.
However, adding Greece
would defy the UK government’s
own guidance.
The 7-day case rate per 100,000 people hasn’t surpassed 20 - a key factor in UK government
decision-making.
/9
However, adding Greece


The 7-day case rate per 100,000 people hasn’t surpassed 20 - a key factor in UK government

/9
And the Welsh haven’t added the entirety of Greece
to their quarantine list - only Zante.
Although not ideal, far more pragmatic and sensible.
/10

Although not ideal, far more pragmatic and sensible.
/10
Almost two weeks ago, we saw Scotland take a different approach to the rest of the UK
with Switzerland
.
Switzerland
was added to Scotland’s quarantine list one week before the rest of the UK
.
/11


Switzerland


/11
Subsequently, I’d be very surprised if the entirety of Greece
were to be added to the UK
quarantine list tomorrow.
The UK government
would be going against its own guidance!
/12


The UK government

/12
It’s more likely the UK government
will mention AVOIDING specific regions where infection rates are higher...
… and perhaps adding individual regions to the quarantine list.
/13

… and perhaps adding individual regions to the quarantine list.
/13
And to round this thread off… 
Statistically, Greece
is in a better position than other nations.
The 7-day case rate per 100,000 people (a key statistic in decision-making) is far below the 20 threshold.
/14

Statistically, Greece

The 7-day case rate per 100,000 people (a key statistic in decision-making) is far below the 20 threshold.
/14
This is a very good thing.
I’d be far more concerned if it were above this… !
More tweets to come as the situation develops!
Thanks!

/15 https://twitter.com/benkersben/status/1295369284277985287
I’d be far more concerned if it were above this… !
More tweets to come as the situation develops!
Thanks!


/15 https://twitter.com/benkersben/status/1295369284277985287