Read on Twitter
Portugal 
reports 390 new cases in the last 24 hours.
A fairly large increase from yesterday.
7-day case rate per 100,000 remains above threshold of 20.
Hard for the government to defy its own guidance, so likely to be added to the UK
quarantine list.
My thread
reports 390 new cases in the last 24 hours.A fairly large increase from yesterday.
7-day case rate per 100,000 remains above threshold of 20.
Hard for the government to defy its own guidance, so likely to be added to the UK
quarantine list.My thread
We have more information with regard to how the UK government
determines whether a nation is “high risk” and should be subject to quarantine measures.
Of course, the threshold of 20 cases per 100,000 people over 7-days cumulatively still applies.
More on this here…
/2 https://twitter.com/benkersben/status/1297961579888226304
determines whether a nation is “high risk” and should be subject to quarantine measures.Of course, the threshold of 20 cases per 100,000 people over 7-days cumulatively still applies.
/2 https://twitter.com/benkersben/status/1297961579888226304
After today’s increase in cases, Portugal’s 7-day cumulative case rate per 100,000 people is 22.9.
This does mean Portugal remains above the UK government’s threshold of 20.
/3
7-day cumulative case rate per 100,000 people is 22.9.This does mean Portugal
remains above the UK government’s threshold of 20./3
Portugal was only added to the UK government’s “safe list” of countries 11 days ago.
An announcement tomorrow that Portugal is returning to the UK’s quarantine list will cause disruption for thousands of Brits with travel plans.
/4
was only added to the UK government’s “safe list” of countries 11 days ago.An announcement tomorrow that Portugal
is returning to the UK’s quarantine list will cause disruption for thousands of Brits with travel plans./4
As seen in previous weeks, the UK government adds countries to its quarantine list once the 7-day cumulative case rate per 100,000 people surpasses 20.
Sadly, Portugal’s 7-day case rate per 100,000 people has remained above 20 for 4 days consecutively.
/5
adds countries to its quarantine list once the 7-day cumulative case rate per 100,000 people surpasses 20.Sadly, Portugal’s
7-day case rate per 100,000 people has remained above 20 for 4 days consecutively./5
Czech Republic 
was added to the UK quarantine list despite only being slightly above the 20 threshold at 20.1…
… giving the impression that UK government follows this rule by the book!
/6
was added to the UK quarantine list despite only being slightly above the 20 threshold at 20.1…… giving the impression that UK government
follows this rule by the book!/6
Yesterday we saw Nicola Sturgeon take a surprisingly tough-line on Greece 
.
With the 7-day cumulative case rate per 100,000 people above 20, I’d be very surprised if Portugal wasn’t re-added to Scotland’s quarantine list at the very minimum.
/7
.With the 7-day cumulative case rate per 100,000 people above 20, I’d be very surprised if Portugal
wasn’t re-added to Scotland’s quarantine list at the very minimum./7
The reason Portugal wasn’t added to Scotland’s quarantine list yesterday was likely because Sturgeon’s government saw an increased number of passengers returning from Greece with COVID-19.
More on that in my thread here
/8 https://twitter.com/benkersben/status/1300893069563301896
wasn’t added to Scotland’s quarantine list yesterday was likely because Sturgeon’s government saw an increased number of passengers returning from Greece with COVID-19.More on that in my thread here
/8 https://twitter.com/benkersben/status/1300893069563301896
If the UK gov were to not add Portugal , this would go against their own guidance.
As mentioned in the second tweet of this thread, Grant Shapps mentions any country where the 7-day case rate per 100,000 people surpasses 20 risks removal from the UK’s “safe list”.
/9
were to not add Portugal , this would go against their own guidance.As mentioned in the second tweet of this thread, Grant Shapps mentions any country where the 7-day case rate per 100,000 people surpasses 20 risks removal from the UK’s
“safe list”./9
Therefore, I’d be surprised if Portugal wasn’t added to all UK quarantine lists in tomorrow’s review.
/10
wasn’t added to all UK quarantine lists in tomorrow’s review./10
The only small reason Portugal *may* not be re-added to the UK quarantine list is due to it being removed so recently.
But as aforementioned, this would defy guidelines and cause confusion for other nations near and above the threshold, e.g. The Netherlands!
/10
*may* not be re-added to the UK quarantine list is due to it being removed so recently.But as aforementioned, this would defy guidelines and cause confusion for other nations near and above the threshold, e.g. The Netherlands!
/10
I simply feel this is unlikely to happen.
Particularly with pressure from Wales and Scotland.
/11
Particularly with pressure from Wales and Scotland.
/11
As usual, more to come as the situation develops!
But right now, Portugal could be in a better position.
Being above the threshold of 20 is not ideal…
Thanks!
/12
But right now, Portugal
could be in a better position. Being above the threshold of 20 is not ideal…
Thanks!
/12
