Back in early February, I did a thread on finding tight ends who produce multiple top 12 seasons.
In the thread below, I’ll post the 5 main thresholds I found as well as all the tight ends in their first 3 years who have hit 4/5 of these thresholds.

Cont. https://twitter.com/dynastyskyler/status/1226325761835048960
To start off, the thresholds, and how many of the tes who have multiple top 12 seasons (28) have hit them.
Note: Some don’t have data for everyone

Draft Capital with Top 3 Rds: 23/28
Speed Score>100: 16/23
MS Red Yards>9%: 25/27
Weight 245-265: 25/27
Broke out in college: 25/27
Let’s start with the 2020 Class and the first tight end drafted: Cole Kmet

2nd round draft capital ✅
Breakout Age: 20 ✅
Weight: 262 ✅
MS Rec Yards Average: 7% ❌
Speed Score: 107 ✅

Note: The other two tight ends had a 7% and 8%, and Kmet dominated his final season
Now let’s go to the Pats tight end who hit 4/5, Devin Asiasi:
MS Rec Yds: 8.7% ❌
3rd rd draft capital ✅
Weight: 257 ✅
Breakout Age: 22 ✅
Speed Score: 103 ✅
Finally, the last tight end who hit 4/5 in this 2020 class: Albert O.
Drafted in 4th round ❌
MS Rec Yds: 12% ✅
Breakout Age: 19 ✅
Weight: 258 ✅
SS: 127 ✅

3 of the 5 outliers who didn’t have Top 3 Round Draft Capital we’re drafted in the 4th round.
TJ Hockenson:
I’m cheating here, he missed the combine, but we know he would’ve knocked it out of the park.
Top 10 Draft Capital ✅✅
19% MS Rec Yds ✅
BOA: 21 ✅

Top 10 picks have a 100% hit rate for a top 12 season.
Noah Fant:
BOA: 19 ✅
MS Rec Yds: 14% ✅
Weight: 249 ✅
Speed Score: 121 ✅
1st round draft capital ✅
Jace Sternberger:
BOA: 22 ✅
MS Rec Yds: 13% ✅
Speed Score: 97 ❌
Weight: 251 ✅
3rd round draft capital ✅
Kahale Warring:
BOA: 20 ✅
9.68 MS Rec Yds ✅
Speed Score: 105 ✅
Weight: 252 ✅
3rd rd draft capital ✅

Warring missed his rookie season due to injury.
Dallas Goedert:
Goedert only played one season, but broke out in that season, and weight 250 lbs with 2nd round draft capital.
He didn’t run a 40, but checks 4/5 boxes without it with what’s listed above.
Hayden Hurst:
1st round draft capital ✅
22 year old breakout age ✅
15.5% MS Rec Yards ✅
Weight: 250 ✅
105 speed score ✅

Falcons spent 2nd round draft capital to get him.
Mike Gesicki:
2nd round draft capital ✅
20 year old breakout age ✅
10.8% MS Rec Yards ✅
Weight: 247 ✅
Speed Score: 116 ✅
Mark Andrews:
3rd round draft capital ✅
Breakout age: 21 ✅
12.8% MS Rec Yards ✅
Weight: 256 ✅
Speed Score: 107 ✅

Mark Andrews is a stud.
Want to know how anyone else pans out on this?
Comment below.
Some of the ones that miss more than they hit will shock you.
You can follow @DynastySkyler.
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