Still believe the polls? If they were right this wouldn't be happening. Both can not exist at the same time. Either the polls are right and Biden is wasting money or the polls lie.

Biden Spending Heavily to Defend States Democrats Won in 2016 https://www.breitbart.com/2020-election/2020/09/01/biden-spending-heavily-to-defend-battlegrounds-democrats-won-in-2016/

The 15 states that Biden's team has determined as "battle ground" states are: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Florida, North Carolina, Arizona, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, Colorado, Virginia, Georgia, Iowa, Ohio and Texas.

The Texas, OH, GA and IA buys appear to be ploys by the dems. Biden is only spending $70,000 in TX. OH is also a small buy. I would imagine the same is going on in IA and GA. (watch the Rove embeded video) https://www.foxnews.com/politics/biden-campaign-shelling-out-280m-for-ad-buy-targeting-15-states

That leaves: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Florida, North Carolina, Arizona, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, Colorado, Virginia,

I would agree PA, MI, FL, NC, AZ, WI, MN, NH, NV are true battlegrounds since all of them were close in 2016. (NC/AZ are probably less so now)

The interesting state buys from a GOP POV are CO and VA. Clinton won both of these states by about 5%. Why would Biden's team be paying for ads in these two states if they are winning by the margins the polls tell us?

If OH, TX, IA and GA are in "Play" that means a shift of 5-10% towards Biden and away from Trump which would put VA and CO in the safe zone for the dems. Yet, Biden's team is buy ads in VA and CO? The two can't be right. Factor in the ad buys in TX and OH are very small tells

...us that Biden's team is worried. IMO the real battlegrounds this year will be MI, WI, MN, NH, ME, NV,PA, NE2 and FL (all less than 3% difference last cycle. With NC, GA and AZ coming into play if Biden is ahead and CO, VA if Trump is ahead(3-5% difference last cycle)

If one candidate moves very far ahead then TX, OH, IA and ME2 will be in play for dems or NM and OR for Trump. (6-11% difference last election cycle)

So why is Biden's team buying ads in VA and CO if the polls are right and making small buys in TX and OH? (ME is overlooked IMO)