THREAD: Everyone’s vote is important, but thanks to the Electoral College, some votes in America matter more than others’. These are the nine types of voters who will decide 2020 https://trib.al/G139z6z 

Double Haters: People who dislike both candidates but were still likely to vote. A Civiqs poll finds that Double Haters prefer Biden over Trump 58% to 4% http://trib.al/G139z6z 

Shy Trumpers: Trump did, indeed, overperform relative to polls in 2016. Was it because of “Shy Trumpers”? There’s debate about whether Shy Trumpers still exist—or ever did http://trib.al/G139z6z 

Tired Trumpers: These are Republicans and independents who liked the good economy, liked Trump’s judges, and initially liked the idea that he’d come to Washington and shake things up, but have grown exhausted by and disillusioned with his behavior http://trib.al/G139z6z 

Racial Justice Voters: The protests that followed George Floyd’s killing by a police officer in Minneapolis have already changed Americans’ political attitudes on issues of racism and police violence. Will they also activate a new wave of voters? http://trib.al/G139z6z 

Minority Mold-Breakers: In 2016, Trump won 8% of Black voters and 28% of Hispanic voters, outdoing former Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney’s performance among those groups in 2012 http://trib.al/G139z6z 

Coronavoters: These are Republicans for whom the coronavirus was the last straw, and Democratic and independent voters who don’t always vote, but who tell pollsters that the pandemic will summon them off the couch into the voting booth come November http://trib.al/G139z6z 

Swinging Seniors: A Harvard University study found that, in 2016, Trump won senior voters by 13 points overall, while exit polls show he won White senior voters by 20 points. But that strength has vanished. No group has swung harder to Biden than seniors http://trib.al/G139z6z 

Hurricane Maria Refugees: After the hurricane devastated Puerto Rico in 2017, the extended suffering caused an exodus. About 400,000 Puerto Ricans relocated to Florida, altering the political composition of a perennial swing state http://trib.al/G139z6z 

Florida’s Newly Enfranchised: Despite Republican efforts, some ex-felons will still be able to vote this fall—although no one is sure how many will turn out http://trib.al/G139z6z