i believe we have found the missing piece to the "guns of june" conundrum https://twitter.com/DavidLarter/status/1300804079237713921

i have been looking since june for an explanation of why exactly trump backed down on invoking the insurrection act during the chaotic showdown in DC during late may/early june

its tremendously frustrating because so many bizarre things happened

* per mainstream reporting, military chiefs deployed national guard to DC to stall Trump

* Esper disarming NG on his own authority without consulting POTUS

* the entire bayonets fiasco

most of the wildest details come from jack murphy's reporting, which i have seen recommended by mainstream mil reporters and think-tankers but have very little idea about https://connectingvets.radio.com/articles/new-details-about-the-82nd-military-deployment-to-dc

the polling doesn't quite resolve all of these ambiguities or clear up the chronology, but it does suggest a major constraint. one thing that seemed to be clear even during june was possibility of major discipline issues if trump or cotton had gone their wish about riot action

you could infer this both from the questionable basis of the mission as well as military demographics. now we have polling that shows how unpopular a deployment would have been.

the polling has major limitations (for one, it is culled from military times subscriber lists) but certainly points in the direction of what might one day be a useful answer about what happened in june