US Update: 8/31/20

Graph 1: Daily Deaths + Current Hospitalizations

- Hospitalizations continue falling rapidly
- Reported Deaths DOWN 97 W-o-W (17%)
- 14 straight days of W-o-W decline in deaths

*Notice the prior 7 Saturdays

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Graph 2: COVID ICU Census vs. Deaths (7DayAvg) vs. Daily Detected Cases

***Deaths consistently falling

- 7-Day Death avg DOWN 65 W-o-W
- ICUs dropping rapidly still
- Cases plateauing again

Notice Date of Death curve dropping more rapidly - more consistent with Hosps

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Graph 3: Daily Tests + Detected Cases + Case Positivity

***7-Day Case Pos% down 0.2% W-o-W

- Tests up 122k W-o-W
- Detected Cases up 1,885 W-o-W but much lower Pos%

Despite nationwide record-low CLI, mass PCR testing is finding "positives" despite people not being sick

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Graph 4: Coronavirus - Census for Hospitalizations vs. ICUs vs. Ventilators

***All 3 metrics in sharp decline and all defy the Reported Death/Case numbers

- Hosps DOWN 3,299 W-o-W
- ICUs DOWN 684 W-o-W
- Vents DOWN 77 W-o-W

Date of Death curve is following these patterns.

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Graphs 5: Daily Estimated Cases vs. Deaths

Shape of gray curve is impacted by the AZ/FL/TX combo peak of 7/21 (FL/TX both peaked 7/25).

Curve drops nicely after that and should continue falling.

Cases are being kept up despite lack of COVID-Like Illness.

/END