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Over the 2019/20, what were the expected Media Dividends of the top MB and PB and priced #footballindex players, and which players got particularly lucky or unlucky?
I've done some digging and written an article examining this further.
Summary (THREAD): https://link.medium.com/a6eZ32yln9
I've done some digging and written an article examining this further.
Summary (THREAD): https://link.medium.com/a6eZ32yln9
Media Dividends accounted for a third of all dividends on offer - more than any other dividend stream.
Over the 19/20 season, the top 10 media players brought in 57% (£12.46) of all media dividends on offer.
#footballindex
Over the 19/20 season, the top 10 media players brought in 57% (£12.46) of all media dividends on offer.
#footballindex
This is in contrast to the match day dividends brought in by the top PB players - £7.33 (18%)
#footballindex
#footballindex
Using winning media scores, we calculate cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) that can be used to derive the probability of at least finishing 1st/2nd/3rd in the media ranking for a particular media score.
#footballindex
#footballindex
The top 10 media players see their media dividends reduce when using 'expected' methodology - mainly driven by Sancho and Pogba
#footballindex
#footballindex
Alexis Sanchez is the unluckiest player, where the expected methodology increases his media dividends by 190%. Pogba is the 'luckiest' player, where he frequently won media dividends with low media scores
#footballindex
#footballindex
The top 10 priced players see their media dividends also reduce using the 'expected' methodology - again, mainly driven by Sancho and Pogba
#footballindex
#footballindex
CAVEAT: As we do not split 'quieter' and 'busier' media days when calculating the CDFs, the methodology is likely to underestimate xMB for those that produce 'media baselines'. This could partly explain the difference we see in players like Sancho and Pogba.
#footballindex
#footballindex
Finally, use this as a guide only and always do your own research! For any queries, feel free to tweet or message me. Thanks for reading #footballindex https://link.medium.com/a6eZ32yln9
