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*If* Messi moves I think he dominates div like nothing we’ve ever seen. I think it changes everything.
(I currently down own him or most of players in this thread. It’s not a “buy X thread), but more a look at potential consequences elsewhere of him moving)
A thread... (1/10)
(I currently down own him or most of players in this thread. It’s not a “buy X thread), but more a look at potential consequences elsewhere of him moving)
A thread... (1/10)
Prem media players - I think these players are the ones most at risk as I see Messi dominating. Players like Pogba (98%), Kane (86%) Bruno (85%), Grealish (77%) and Rashford (72%) won most their divs from media. Add Sancho (if at Utd) + Messi (if at City) = more so (2/10)
Premiership strikers - I think Messi wins less PB if at City then at Barcelona, but still wins an incredibly high amount. Such could be his dominance that could leave Kane, Sterling, Werner, Willian struggling (3/10)
Man City players - Mentioned Sterling previously but also bad for De Bruyne (loses some setpieces + harder to win star man). Jesus/Aguero may get less mins + competing for PB directly vs Messi. Foden harder to get media divs + star man but maybe easier for position divs (4/10)
King of FI - I can see Sancho losing £2-3 in the next 12 months if Messi signs for City. This includes near £1 during media madness. Long term it’s less of a worry given Sancho’s age + intrinsic value. I think holders want him moving next season if Messi moves this one (5/10)
So who does it help? First let’s look at La Liga. Should be good for strikers (quite slim pickings but maybe Benzema/Greizman), stronger PB players in the league (again not great options here for me, but should help Kroos and Parejo). (6/10)
Who else does it help? Trent (isn’t competing in same position or for medi divs as next season should win 75%+ of divs from PB not media). Other decent PB players who don’t rely on media (Kimmich, Depay Dybala and Gnabry largely unaffected) (7/10)
Also should help ‘emerging-could be-almost elite’ youth, as they don’t rely on divs at this stage of their career. So the likes of Odegaard, Kubo, Cherki, Camavinga, Fati (him especially if now gets more game time), Aouchiche, Elliot, Jones I know think are safer bets (8/10)
To conclude, I think if Messi moves I think it impacts every single player so much over the next 18 months. Both the real world and football index landscape is constantly changing, which means valuations + trends can chang fast. Adapting to this quickly could be key soon (9/10)
Finally...the huge dividend rise means most players are underpriced on FI. Messi moving doesn’t make them overpriced longterm. This was a look at shorter term impact.
And of course he might not go to City, in which case you’ve wasted 3 min of your life reading this (10/10)
And of course he might not go to City, in which case you’ve wasted 3 min of your life reading this (10/10)
