#Laura Surge Thraad Highest #StormSurge recorded seemed to be around 9 ft. Yes, that’s devastating, but it appears the “reasonable worst case scenario surge” was x2 higher than what occurred in most communities. 1/

It appears #LakeCharles the flooding was far below what was forecast as well. 2/

Again, I mentioned last night, in order to maximize surge, you need the ace-high straight flush/royal flush - coastal topography, shape of the shoreline, landfall coinciding with high tide (which you only have a short window, perfect wind direction to funnel max water, 3/

long fetch, the geographical size of the storm, direction of the storm’s approach- ok, you get it. 4/

While, we don’t know what has happened to the very tiny communities that live in the Marsh south right at the Gulf - the biggest issues for Sulphur and Lake Charles apprears to be wind damage. 5/

Ok, this is where my Emergency Management background has be concerned. The language used to describe the surge potential was some of the strongest I’ve seen. 6/

What happens next time when a 20’ surge is realized? People will say, eh, “I survived Rita, Ike, Laura...” 7/

Boy who cried Wolf syndrome is some thing that I have actually lost sleep over. 8/

With the #climatecrisis The chance of these search forecast coming to fruition is increasing. 9/