It all looks absurd to us because the convention isn’t aimed at us. It’s aimed squarely at Trump’s "base".

Playing entirely to Trump's base isn't as stupid as it seems.

Yes, Trump will lose the election, but he'll stay relevant, and that's what he wants.

1/ https://twitter.com/davidgura/status/1298433051995918336
Here's the reactionary view of America in 2020 shared by a minority of Americans⤵️
https://twitter.com/ryanstruyk/status/1298440644361322499

Normally an incumbent running for reelection would try to reach beyond his base of supporters. Trump can't. He's helped the GOP morph into a white nationalist party.

2/
You can't embrace Confederate sympathizers AND reach out to liberals and minority communities.

If he sincerely tries to reach out to minority communities, his 'base' will lose interest.

Also, he'll never attract enough left-leaners or minorities to win—so why bother?

3/
Now consider these statistics: https://www.cbsnews.com/live-news/cbsnews-eye-on-trends/

This means Trump controls the majority of Republican voters. They're more loyal to Trump than the GOP.

Most former presidents don't have much actual power. The party membership moves behind an upcoming standard-bearer.

4/
Let them Eat Tweets” Yale political scientist @Jacob_S_Hacker and Berkeley political scientist Paul Pierson explain that GOP leadership lost control of the party when they “outsourced voter mobilization."

5/
This happened when the GOP formed an alliance with Fox and the NRA.

At first GOP officials thought it was great: FOX and the NRA could turn out voters.

Eventually FOX and the NRA controled GOP elected officials—because they needed FOX and the NRA to get elected.

6/
Here's how it works: The GOP has a lot of power—all those Senators, Congress members, governors, etc.

Whoever controls the voters controls those officials

Trump is setting himself up to control the voters.

The GOP set up this situation by empowering FOX.

7/
FOX created an impenetrable echo chamber by setting itself up as the sole source of truth.

This allowed for the rise of a leadership cult.

Trump can now out-fox FOX.

Now, about this ⤵️
https://twitter.com/weedoggos/status/1298452141208559616

8/
People outside the Fox-Trump-GOP bubble believe that the fact that the Trumps have committed multiple crimes will eventually bring them down.

However, peple who look at Trump a messiah are not going to change their minds if he's brought to trial and found guilty.

9/
If they don't think the things he did should be crimes, they won't care. They'll see him as a victim.

What I'm saying is that Trump will lose the election, and will be out of the White House in January—but our troubles at his hands will not end.

10/
After Biden wins (yes he will) the Confederacy-sympathizers who think minority communities and liberals are destroying America aren't going to fold up shop.

They've been with us since the founding of the nation.

They'll still be around, and Trump wants to control them.

11/
Why am I so confident? Because of statistics, polls, and history.

The Democrats won the midterms by 8 percentage points. The demographics since then have shifted slightly toward the Democrats.

The elections since the midterms support this conclusion. . . .

12/
I volunteered in my first election in 1980 when I did internal polling for the Carter campaign. I've been reading polls since.

I've learned how far to trust polls. I'm not a mathematician, but I understand something about margins of error and methods.

13/
Trump's approval took a dive shortly after he was elected. He's been underwater since.

No incumbent this unpopular has won reelection.

There's evidence that turn out will be huge. People are taking this seriously.

I am, however, under no illusions that he'll remain dangerous.
It's a long term solution. Yes, there are things that can be done but right wing extremists will be a problem for the foreseeable future. https://twitter.com/Vanja_si/status/1298456868239613953
You can follow @Teri_Kanefield.
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