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Good morning, friends.
NYI is a real threat, combining the bubble's lowest rate of quality allowed against with an above-avg rate of quality for. They are a problem.
COL's still good (don't fret!) but DAL's also good and 2-0 leads are tough to overcome.
https://www.chartinghockey.ca/nhl-playoff-bubble-charts/
NYI is a real threat, combining the bubble's lowest rate of quality allowed against with an above-avg rate of quality for. They are a problem.
COL's still good (don't fret!) but DAL's also good and 2-0 leads are tough to overcome.
https://www.chartinghockey.ca/nhl-playoff-bubble-charts/
Bubble PDO
You don't get to stay in the bubble without +rates of shooting and saves.
NYI's moved into terrifying territory for their opponents. VGK is close to joining the top-right now.
BOS has received any boost here yet (at 5v5), which is a little scary for TBL.
You don't get to stay in the bubble without +rates of shooting and saves.
NYI's moved into terrifying territory for their opponents. VGK is close to joining the top-right now.
BOS has received any boost here yet (at 5v5), which is a little scary for TBL.
Quality per shot
This is NYI, Trotzian hockey to perfection. NYI allows the lowest quality shots against while getting the fourth-best quality per shot they take. Nothing good for opponents, exclusively good for themselves. That's a tightly adhered-to system.
This is NYI, Trotzian hockey to perfection. NYI allows the lowest quality shots against while getting the fourth-best quality per shot they take. Nothing good for opponents, exclusively good for themselves. That's a tightly adhered-to system.
Quantity vs quality differential
Usually, teams that get the better end of the Corsi battle (quantity) get the better end of the quality battle (xG) too.
That's not the NYI way: They consistently lose on shot-share but have the bubble's second-best xG share.
Usually, teams that get the better end of the Corsi battle (quantity) get the better end of the quality battle (xG) too.
That's not the NYI way: They consistently lose on shot-share but have the bubble's second-best xG share.
Expected win%
VGK and NYI are top-notch and getting the results to match. COL is excellent too -- I'd bet they fight back in their series vs DAL.
VAN and PHI aren't where you want to be. TBL's not in the best spot either, still graphically reeling from the CBJ series.
VGK and NYI are top-notch and getting the results to match. COL is excellent too -- I'd bet they fight back in their series vs DAL.
VAN and PHI aren't where you want to be. TBL's not in the best spot either, still graphically reeling from the CBJ series.
xG differential
Still, VGK is a team to be fearful of -- they continue to cruise, scoring at will, dominating the quality share, and winning without receiving any boost from goaltending yet (though Lehner's last showing was a plus).
They're the toughest out left standing.
Still, VGK is a team to be fearful of -- they continue to cruise, scoring at will, dominating the quality share, and winning without receiving any boost from goaltending yet (though Lehner's last showing was a plus).
They're the toughest out left standing.
Goals vs expectation
Based on the shots they've taken (all-sits), TBL and BOS should each have 6 more goals. It makes their series a sort of race to see whose shooting regresses first.
Based on the shots they've taken (all-sits), TBL and BOS should each have 6 more goals. It makes their series a sort of race to see whose shooting regresses first.
Look, I'm starting to think NYR's PDO is never going to bounce back.
Bubble daggers
It's going to be pretty, pretty tricky for COL and DAL to both remain + in xG share...
It's going to be pretty, pretty tricky for COL and DAL to both remain + in xG share...
Team stats heatmap
NYI vs *checks notes, strikes out COL* VGK Cup final confirmed.
NYI vs *checks notes, strikes out COL* VGK Cup final confirmed.
