Editing a recent @CDCarter13 article and he talks about (not necessarily supports) this popular line of logic:

"WRa and WRb are teammates who both have high ADPs, therefore their QB should have a high ADP"

So I did some digging (1/?)

This line of thinking makes a huge assumption: that WRs ADPs are accurate and that's where they will finish.

But let's give the WRs high finishes.

Over the last 10 years, there have been 42 instances of teammates both finishing as the WR24 or better (half-PPR).. (2/?)

Looking at each of those offenses' Team QB scoring, the average end-of-season rank was 9.6.

Of those 42 offenses, 18 teams finished ranked sixth or higher in total QB scoring. Pretty good.

29 finished 10th or higher. Orly three finished in the bottom 10...(3/?)

IFF we think that WR teammates with high ADPs will finish as such, their QB has a pretty good chance of being a high-end fantasy player.

The problem with the logic is that it ignores the differences in how the positions are scored...(4/?)

Take the Rams last year. They produced 395 completions, 4641 passing yards and 22 touchdowns, resulting in the 19th most fantasy QB points.

22% of that production to a WR would be 174.6 half-PPR points or WR24 numbers.

25% would be WR12 numbers...(5/?)

When two WRs have high ADPs, it COULD mean that they are in a good offense and their QB might be a value or a fantasy target.

But it could also just mean that they are going to be part of a super-concentrated passing attack.

Be sure to distinguish the two