New NHC Advisory has:

* A Hurricane Watch from Port Bolivar, TX-west of Morgan City, LA (incl Galveston Bay)
* A Storm Surge Watch from San Luis Pass, TX-Ocean Springs, MS
* A Tropical Storm Watch off the hurricane watch to San Luis Pass, TX and the Mouth of the MS River.

NHC continues to hammer a track east of here, but reminds folks in their discussion that average track error at 60 hours lead time is about *90 miles*. Again, given the model uncertainty that still exists at the mercy of small-scale features, Houston should remain alert.

The problem right now: Most modeling consensus focuses on TX/LA border give or take for landfall. But the model group generally considered the best (certainly not perfect tho) is focused nearer to Houston. This keeps us uneasy, especially when you factor in avg 90 mile errors.